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NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Finlandof Canada, Finland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$476,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Canada61c214,641$129,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,880.184358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Finland38c185,718$70,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,965.316442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canada62c73,254$45,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,300.031,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a16…33dbbacked Canada65c30,498$19,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,776.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x936b…7c51backed Finland39c29,524$11,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,009.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Canada58c18,122$10,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,563.6727044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…0b1bbacked Finland39c16,368$6,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,005.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Finland37c13,500$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,505666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Finland36c12,157$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,754.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…b7e9backed Finland39c11,851$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,229.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Canada16c10,449$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.83812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canada61c9,895$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,036.111,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked Finland39c9,577$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,863.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Canada63c7,500$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72512950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Finland38c7,261$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.324438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Finland38c6,076$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.9966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…4e19backed Finland39c6,034$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Finland37c4,940$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.78543.5%37 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Finland37c4,600$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8983650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Finland37c4,513$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.5610456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Finland47c4,394$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Finland64c4,131$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.541,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Finland39c3,764$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.441,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Finland55c3,666$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.511949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33ca…1d0cbacked Canada70c3,297$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Canada80c3,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Finland39c2,957$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.3314551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Finland77c2,891$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Finland50c2,634$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.432450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Finland37c2,574$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.5833950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Finland34c2,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.712748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Canada62c2,331$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.651866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Canada45c2,269$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ae…97ccbacked Canada59c2,091$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Finland39c2,015$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.261942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Finland18c2,015$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.33647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Canada11c1,890$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.163228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Finland37c1,854$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.971457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Finland33c1,795$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.134254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed Finland37c1,783$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Finland33c1,728$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.436931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Finland37c1,640$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.783444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Canada62c1,635$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0142123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked Finland39c1,633$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Finland44c1,607$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.8413845.7%63 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Finland33c1,580$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.31442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46f…0f6dbacked Canada62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Finland77c1,339$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Canada16c1,231$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Canada39c1,206$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.843742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Canada23c1,205$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…b7c9backed Canada62c1,129$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Canada18c1,057$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.154353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Finland37c1,035$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c21…3bc2backed Canada63c1,022$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Finland48c1,011$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.6325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Finland36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64056553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Finland38c999.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9833837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Canada15c999.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Finland39c947.1$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.146847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31c…7830backed Canada62c871.89$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Finland63c849.99$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.492969%20 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+71.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Canada19c819.56$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.834445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Canada3c691.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.113841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Finland39c671.44$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.585156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Canada49c661.66$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.883036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8080…8a7ebacked Canada61c658$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Canada55c649.37$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.987642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Finland44c618.52$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.3614254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Finland37c609$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.444755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Canada66c601.2$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.172080%16 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Finland51c582$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2145069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5ea5…6548backed Finland39c578.08$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…2419backed Canada33c546.56$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Canada3c538.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.551016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Finland38c516.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.362536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Finland39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.821136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Finland33c500$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+217.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Canada66c500$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.747533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…f67dbacked Canada28c479.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.734027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Canada49c464.45$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Finland41c453.65$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Canada40c450.59$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0411251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Canada65c410.36$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.088043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Finland39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2444037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2090…7584backed Finland39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a50…650abacked Canada62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Finland43c399.57$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0230845.8%141 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Canada46c398.07$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf88…fcb0backed Finland39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe189…13fbbacked Finland39c350$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Canada64c343.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.720059.5%119 W · 81 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x462f…cbd6backed Canada40c338.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Finland38c336.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.71837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf59…43dfbacked Finland49c335.43$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Canada61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.311253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe06c…65fcbacked Canada15c329.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Finland37c324.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2224949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Canada62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2797…044cbacked Canada62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.