Token Launches · resolved market
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8bb474fd2b8bed5b5e76020240debe09f0f18dbb153e5cb894344cec6f48b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 40c | 27,708$11,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,171.06 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 12,300$6,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 46c | 10,500$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 47c | 7,812$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…5e7fbacked Yes | 58c | 6,557$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8f85backed Yes | 72c | 5,490$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked Yes | 70c | 5,044$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.91 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes | 50c | 3,635$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…9ffabacked Yes | 56c | 3,229$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 13c | 3,222$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.08 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…c745backed Yes | 71c | 2,689$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 2,641$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked No | 29c | 2,446$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.28 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 55c | 2,316$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…678ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,199$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 2,070$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Yes | 53c | 1,958$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 21c | 1,691$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.83 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…f421backed No | 24c | 1,600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 80c | 1,587$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…2c9dbacked No | 24c | 1,552$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +2,349.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…c969backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a8…efc9backed No | 37c | 1,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 71c | 1,499$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.44 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 60c | 1,438$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 1,431$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…1643backed Yes | 78c | 1,427$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Yes | 74c | 1,342$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 35c | 1,249$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed No | 28c | 1,200$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…cd61backed Yes | 70c | 1,172$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 63c | 1,158$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed Yes | 69c | 1,150$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…a9fcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,139$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 28c | 1,138$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 58c | 1,137$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.21 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 52c | 1,122$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,100$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…30c7backed Yes | 54c | 1,100$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 57c | 1,079$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.53 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed Yes | 59c | 1,073$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.83 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…234abacked Yes | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 41c | 977.01$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.44 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 34c | 931.21$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.47 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 16c | 899.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…eca8backed Yes | 77c | 899.3$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…c116backed Yes | 71c | 895.5$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…ea5cbacked Yes | 79c | 873.3$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 50c | 832.72$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.38per pick | 30cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…e466backed Yes | 66c | 762.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b6…302fbacked Yes | 57c | 757.36$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed No | 40c | 727.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…b4e5backed Yes | 70c | 711.03$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 75c | 700$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 72c | 699.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…74cfbacked No | 27c | 697.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 51c | 693.82$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.75 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61b0…dd96backed Yes | 74c | 676.54$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked Yes | 75c | 668.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…fad5backed Yes | 52c | 650$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…f9f9backed Yes | 72c | 638.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Yes | 78c | 616.74$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 41c | 608.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +104%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b362backed Yes | 60c | 599.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…497fbacked No | 59c | 590$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 22c | 583.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…a58ebacked No | 35c | 572.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…b33abacked Yes | 54c | 555.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…e7e9backed No | 4c | 550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 72c | 522.14$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 63c | 505$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaea…b1cfbacked Yes | 77c | 476.3$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Yes | 77c | 473.8$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Yes | 66c | 452.43$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 5c | 451$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…5ff5backed Yes | 70c | 442.26$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…a91bbacked Yes | 71c | 429.2$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 75c | 418.18$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 28c | 417.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 416.66$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…db4fbacked No | 16c | 415.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…e1febacked Yes | 75c | 404.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 80c | 400.93$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 75c | 400.84$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Yes | 55c | 400$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 399.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 8c | 397.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 397.33$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…3439backed Yes | 75c | 395.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…c5d7backed Yes | 53c | 390$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8080…8a7ebacked Yes | 76c | 384.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…5090backed Yes | 69c | 382.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…fa93backed Yes | 51c | 376.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…83a7backed Yes | 51c | 370.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4d…90dfbacked Yes | 51c | 369.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?this page
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.