Token Launches · resolved market
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ddf5ef540070c0c7a44011d7b66d252edb2162d68a72d9dd429d5b93c6736b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $572,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 532 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 30c | 42,811$12,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,994.13 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb705…51a4backed No | 38c | 35,219$13,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,387.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…749bbacked Yes | 47c | 28,500$13,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,009.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ad…18f4backed No | 70c | 25,207$17,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,589.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…0034backed Yes | 37c | 15,648$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,865.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 36c | 14,482$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.84 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9c…4516backed No | 9c | 12,464$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…5e7fbacked Yes | 65c | 10,942$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…3230backed Yes | 33c | 10,555$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,115.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes | 59c | 10,249$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…6e36backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 57c | 8,754$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.21 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…dd5fbacked Yes | 62c | 7,828$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…9d95backed Yes | 71c | 6,497$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 68c | 6,000$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.98 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 13c | 5,438$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed Yes | 62c | 5,294$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked No | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…8a94backed Yes | 79c | 4,211$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked No | 71c | 4,094$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 56c | 4,033$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.94 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 61c | 4,008$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…80c8backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…3e60backed Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 62c | 3,920$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 45c | 3,736$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 28c | 3,616$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.06 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 55c | 3,400$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,176$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…f3bebacked No | 42c | 3,023$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed No | 13c | 3,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a8…efc9backed No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b0…dd96backed Yes | 65c | 2,671$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…61a4backed Yes | 40c | 2,654$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b6…302fbacked Yes | 63c | 2,646$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…94c1backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 50c | 2,500$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.99 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed Yes | 56c | 2,439$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…be60backed No | 7c | 2,390$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…a5cabacked No | 13c | 2,200$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 2,193$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 62c | 2,131$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.8 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…c920backed Yes | 29c | 2,100$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 48c | 2,068$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…f421backed No | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 71c | 1,990$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.97 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 78c | 1,965$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,944$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 57c | 1,943$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.16 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…6c43backed No | 47c | 1,903$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.17 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…7419backed Yes | 29c | 1,900$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked No | 24c | 1,893$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 35c | 1,887$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.49 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 19c | 1,846$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…9694backed Yes | 74c | 1,788$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 65c | 1,751$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb06…a69dbacked No | 17c | 1,699$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed No | 6c | 1,602$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.38per pick | 30cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…8b29backed Yes | 38c | 1,595$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…33e2backed Yes | 44c | 1,560$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…b362backed No | 60c | 1,514$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…a09ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa16…8bcfbacked No | 12c | 1,437$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 71c | 1,431$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 14c | 1,426$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,386$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…38bcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,381$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…acf9backed No | 38c | 1,308$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Yes | 76c | 1,289$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efa…9839backed Yes | 23c | 1,268$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…9ce2backed Yes | 71c | 1,215$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f3…32c0backed No | 9c | 1,214$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…afbbbacked Yes | 45c | 1,213$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 54c | 1,188$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.76 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 5c | 1,170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,169$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…3759backed No | 31c | 1,168$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked No | 6c | 1,150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 19c | 1,140$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,140$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.02 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 53c | 1,074$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.19 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…968abacked No | 20c | 1,062$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…85c9backed No | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…3c56backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +116%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…5682backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…9629backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…39eebacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Yes | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…0f30backed No | 5c | 964.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a98…3113backed Yes | 44c | 944.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…54b3backed No | 10c | 920$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…7e43backed Yes | 78c | 920$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…7bd9backed No | 13c | 915.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 13c | 867.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
- Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.