Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5273530fd4448ef45e95735b03613692a792dedc5e7c361d737f668f122c7f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 38c | 16,667$6,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,315.8 | 186 | 16.1%30 W · 156 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 66c | 9,070$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.86 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 46c | 8,619$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,670.28 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 10c | 7,074$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.71 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 6,676$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.05 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 33c | 6,091$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.77 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 11c | 5,940$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.16 | 161 | 22.4%36 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 3c | 5,075$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.87 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 37c | 4,471$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.25 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 54c | 3,989$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.58 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 7c | 3,798$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.75 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 13c | 3,739$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.81 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 5c | 3,703$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 37c | 3,400$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.47 | 119 | 32.8%39 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 29c | 3,337$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.17 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 24c | 3,337$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.28 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 40c | 3,303$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.05 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 3,013$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.95 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes | 31c | 2,689$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.88 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed No | 77c | 2,677$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.34 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,565$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.75 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked No | 6c | 2,533$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 17c | 2,517$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.25 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,198$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.28 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 55c | 2,121$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.56 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 10c | 2,105$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 42c | 2,074$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.48 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 1,819$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.49 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 32c | 1,791$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.34 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 59c | 1,685$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.54 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 7c | 1,603$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.87 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…1ec5backed No | 31c | 1,520$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.05 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…ffcfbacked No | 4c | 1,507$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 199 | 9%18 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.35 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,468$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.09 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,456$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.43 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 16c | 1,340$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.21 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 30c | 1,321$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.78 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,302$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,176$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.07 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 10c | 1,127$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 28c | 1,033$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.71 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.34 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 963$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.35 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 7c | 931.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.44 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes | 5c | 881.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.05 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 21c | 818.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.12 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed No | 17c | 783.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes | 34c | 760.71$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.98 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 758$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.42 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 11c | 712.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.68 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 16c | 698.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.53 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 69c | 680.94$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.85 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed No | 2c | 674.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 80c | 655.9$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed No | 14c | 655.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 52c | 630.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.72 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 35c | 628.91$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…9e6dbacked Yes | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 12c | 599.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 37c | 592.51$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.1 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 8c | 575.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.77 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 5c | 561.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 270 | 24.4%66 W · 204 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 57c | 536.93$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.79 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…0190backed No | 16c | 515.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 48c | 506.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd527…cb8abacked Yes | 15c | 478.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed No | 4c | 475.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 12c | 458.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 28c | 449.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.79 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 11c | 443.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.04 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…6459backed Yes | 44c | 412.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 6c | 411.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.56 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 71c | 410.62$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…61a6backed Yes | 16c | 407.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.85 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 100 | 8%8 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked No | 30c | 398.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ffe1backed Yes | 77c | 387.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 13c | 378.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.13 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 41c | 374.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.41 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 10c | 368.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed Yes | 15c | 346$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes | 28c | 346$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 39c | 338.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 25c | 294$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 21c | 287.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Yes | 68c | 287$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 7c | 283$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 558 | 8.2%46 W · 512 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed No | 10c | 277.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…ac7fbacked Yes | 67c | 272.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Yes | 79c | 257.85$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 8c | 244.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 11c | 234.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…7379backed Yes | 7c | 204.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed No | 11c | 204.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked No | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 280 | 34.3%96 W · 184 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.