Token Launches · resolved market
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0af5b573cd93141fb7d5b0ad44feea5fc60ae6cfcc982aaffd5acb21c60c707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $786,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $867,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $786,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 32c | 60,867$19,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,719.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…c76ebacked No | 58c | 41,855$24,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,593.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed No | 64c | 38,293$24,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,828.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…3b76backed Yes | 34c | 33,949$11,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,560.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…e317backed No | 38c | 29,518$11,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,404.55 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +9.8wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Yes | 64c | 28,369$18,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,238.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed No | 41c | 22,054$9,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,911.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…41bcbacked Yes | 48c | 21,493$10,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,323.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…975cbacked No | 63c | 17,476$10,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,540.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed No | 59c | 16,931$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…3b67backed Yes | 51c | 12,862$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 12,539$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.56 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fecfbacked Yes | 7c | 11,193$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.1 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked No | 50c | 10,739$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.85 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…5e37backed Yes | 59c | 10,554$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 62c | 10,239$6,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.27 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…8b82backed No | 66c | 9,415$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…b436backed Yes | 59c | 7,397$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…6b5cbacked No | 35c | 7,252$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +380.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…4612backed Yes | 17c | 6,778$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…df17backed Yes | 45c | 6,663$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…bfeabacked Yes | 42c | 6,362$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.99 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 10c | 6,173$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.48 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 78c | 5,907$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.75 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…dfc0backed Yes | 17c | 5,721$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f5…251bbacked Yes | 70c | 5,164$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 49c | 5,128$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.25 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked Yes | 2c | 5,123$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d103backed Yes | 8c | 5,017$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 40c | 4,797$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.24 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…fd9dbacked No | 64c | 4,685$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…8a45backed Yes | 65c | 4,617$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…e7abbacked Yes | 43c | 4,553$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb16a…81cbbacked Yes | 42c | 4,439$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked No | 38c | 4,305$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 47c | 4,146$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.61 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…c9febacked Yes | 28c | 4,145$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…09cebacked Yes | 41c | 4,013$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,874$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…b4c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,783$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b7…675dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,657$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 6c | 3,596$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed Yes | 17c | 3,356$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.7 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…3cb7backed Yes | 48c | 3,158$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…df70backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…868bbacked No | 66c | 2,981$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +375.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked No | 62c | 2,955$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…e068backed No | 40c | 2,953$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…3b5abacked Yes | 36c | 2,711$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…e986backed Yes | 10c | 2,698$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…389dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,602$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Yes | 23c | 2,599$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 32c | 2,568$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.43 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 64c | 2,561$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…02d8backed No | 63c | 2,518$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…13bcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 32c | 2,499$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.41 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…1a2dbacked No | 40c | 2,495$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…8a64backed Yes | 13c | 2,408$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…c7b4backed Yes | 41c | 2,396$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…3645backed Yes | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 35c | 2,249$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.85 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8064…ad1bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,244$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…bb7dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,232$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7a73backed No | 43c | 2,207$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.24 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb1…7dd5backed Yes | 7c | 2,191$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…e046backed Yes | 47c | 2,140$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked Yes | 46c | 2,132$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…47c8backed Yes | 5c | 2,127$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c36fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,100$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 46c | 2,073$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 27c | 2,067$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…b428backed Yes | 10c | 2,027$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…e71dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,025$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…e25dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,024$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes | 45c | 2,015$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.85 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…ae04backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…21c5backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…0e63backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9338…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3710backed No | 56c | 1,953$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…d733backed Yes | 28c | 1,895$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…ccf2backed Yes | 40c | 1,889$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.69 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed Yes | 60c | 1,862$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,850$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…95f3backed Yes | 4c | 1,734$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a9…c3cabacked Yes | 6c | 1,731$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…7535backed Yes | 2c | 1,684$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 73c | 1,650$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,627$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 25c | 1,624$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…041abacked Yes | 29c | 1,541$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…bfbabacked Yes | 46c | 1,498$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,482$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,464$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…ecc1backed Yes | 14c | 1,445$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3817backed No | 57c | 1,409$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…37aebacked Yes | 36c | 1,400$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?this page
- Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $8B one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.