Token Launches · resolved market
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb03a6e42f6ba086d5c8579ad5fdb7d47d7a0d30817ec5711b4fb24d1d734412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3377…6b54backed No | 1c | 33,049$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +425.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed No | 26c | 22,180$5,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,672.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…e986backed Yes | 76c | 14,133$10,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 13,579$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.41 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 3c | 11,682$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…81eabacked No | 8c | 11,641$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 3c | 9,554$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 75c | 9,420$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…46e6backed No | 5c | 6,953$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked No | 7c | 6,825$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed No | 7c | 6,611$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 8c | 6,232$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed No | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed No | 22c | 4,846$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…3a01backed No | 20c | 4,846$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.95 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 6c | 4,601$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc033…859bbacked No | 2c | 4,251$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…6f12backed Yes | 77c | 4,075$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…a8f5backed No | 4c | 4,048$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…0d7abacked No | 3c | 3,977$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…4ea0backed No | 13c | 3,889$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked No | 5c | 3,544$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 2c | 3,506$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…a06dbacked No | 4c | 3,269$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 4c | 3,113$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…c4f4backed No | 36c | 3,100$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…9d5dbacked No | 14c | 2,869$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.79 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…69f1backed No | 6c | 2,865$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…1106backed Yes | 73c | 2,781$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 65c | 2,723$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 72c | 2,622$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.91 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7c…a586backed No | 8c | 2,544$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 12c | 2,530$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.86 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…068cbacked No | 7c | 2,490$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed Yes | 68c | 2,233$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed No | 5c | 2,203$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…239fbacked No | 2c | 2,122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…8b82backed Yes | 69c | 2,044$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.7 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 25c | 1,907$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…97a2backed No | 30c | 1,882$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…ab53backed No | 5c | 1,817$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…7123backed No | 47c | 1,769$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 78c | 1,764$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…19a3backed No | 11c | 1,717$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 5c | 1,715$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…de12backed No | 6c | 1,696$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…688fbacked No | 37c | 1,694$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…5ac2backed No | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked No | 6c | 1,431$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked No | 3c | 1,430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…1c4abacked No | 1c | 1,395$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…c8cebacked No | 3c | 1,357$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…6695backed No | 4c | 1,323$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…ea74backed No | 12c | 1,301$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…cfc3backed No | 7c | 1,298$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…aa32backed No | 4c | 1,236$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…8ea6backed No | 8c | 1,221$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…f604backed No | 47c | 1,189$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…2204backed No | 33c | 1,114$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked No | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…74fbbacked No | 8c | 1,090$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…a086backed No | 2c | 1,036$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…bf08backed No | 6c | 1,009$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…2862backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed No | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed No | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 70c | 999.99$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…8e4abacked No | 50c | 975$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 3c | 971.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed No | 7c | 945.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…56d4backed No | 1c | 939.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b7…031cbacked Yes | 52c | 938.99$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked No | 5c | 918.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 71c | 880.61$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb8…ac19backed No | 6c | 854.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9328…ec52backed Yes | 73c | 849.13$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…501bbacked No | 49c | 800$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…d855backed Yes | 65c | 800$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…355dbacked No | 3c | 775.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9289…6747backed No | 8c | 754.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…c742backed No | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 30c | 676.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…451bbacked No | 35c | 661.55$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed Yes | 67c | 649.64$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…6a5cbacked No | 13c | 619.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…d2debacked No | 11c | 618.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…159cbacked No | 8c | 617.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed No | 33c | 607.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 69c | 594.17$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…9896backed No | 9c | 584.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…4885backed Yes | 75c | 581.06$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…f322backed No | 6c | 581.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…87acbacked No | 6c | 580.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…15dabacked No | 34c | 566.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 6c | 557.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…f947backed No | 4c | 549.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…8305backed No | 18c | 540$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…8805backed No | 13c | 521.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 73c | 510$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
- Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $8B one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.