TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb59c…9b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 53 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST170%0 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Aster all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
Will BNB reach $1200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.29
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
Will Solana reach $300 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$134
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will there be no coalition by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+855.8%+$431.23
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDbacked VVD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50.92
Will D66 win 20 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+33.9%+$33.89
Will D66 win 18–19 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will D66 win 16–17 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$18
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$110.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Notts County FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.68
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Telstar 1963 vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$113.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Passion UA win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$106.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.