TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

BNB all time high by December 31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$497,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf57…77c7backed Yes3c125,562$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.56244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-78%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes6c17,918$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.421533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc4…6770backed No68c11,892$8,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.2211244.6%50 W · 62 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9fe…f135backed Yes4c11,387$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.011338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes6c10,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f46…0776backed Yes5c9,344$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No54c6,159$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.396642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c5,775$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.71,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c3,840$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.14163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc07…3fb5backed Yes4c3,046$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc68…c919backed Yes1c2,560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No39c2,503$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.7413053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x808f…87b2backed No79c2,479$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf493…f4f6backed Yes10c2,360$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4329.4%3 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes8c2,271$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.64231%13 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c2,230$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.976785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No79c2,219$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.971250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c2,204$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.53185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6fe…71e4backed No53c2,110$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96fc…cc0bbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x929c…e816backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes3c1,990$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.811431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes3c1,933$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes6c1,815$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6770%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes17c1,711$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9160%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes1c1,680$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122125.7%12 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes43c1,646$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-85.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6550…d966backed Yes62c1,625$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd199…37a6backed Yes14c1,607$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.83728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes2c1,592$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+88%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…caa4backed Yes45c1,528$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes8c1,500$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.490%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a13…12dbbacked No58c1,500$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1619…4b1ebacked Yes47c1,421$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xace9…c41fbacked No75c1,353$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bab…5fa0backed Yes15c1,351$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a8…799dbacked No54c1,228$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd38a…52c0backed Yes8c1,190$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.81647.8%5 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes50c1,149$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.742832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c1,134$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb261…09a7backed Yes51c1,125$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a1…0ee9backed No50c1,038$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x121e…8dbcbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca9…ba8abacked Yes34c988.46$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe2…b68cbacked Yes18c970.13$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc16…af7dbacked Yes17c950$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes7c902$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac8…c743backed Yes33c901.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes5c899.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x475a…403abacked No52c884.86$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes7c874.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.54621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes20c874.15$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.62541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes42c829.65$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8819439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes6c808.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.361693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…ad02backed Yes47c800.26$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…9d19backed Yes55c723.19$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400110%0 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes37c712.12$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.461233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Yes4c646.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes22c629.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.872240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5819…83a3backed Yes49c620.2$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30290%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed No63c602.1$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.292035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee8…7e06backed Yes37c598.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.846940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa6…1e21backed Yes31c581$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1570%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b20…38ffbacked Yes20c560.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…1df4backed Yes10c550$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.92520%5 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No53c534.25$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788f…19bbbacked Yes50c524.25$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19a4…4e3cbacked Yes5c509.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4757…63cbbacked Yes20c507$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2770%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be6…45bbbacked Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd03…caf3backed Yes45c489.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed Yes40c462.33$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…c732backed Yes19c430.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442d…523ebacked Yes3c427$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87320%0 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62c…194ebacked Yes49c415.89$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa6…71cabacked Yes12c407.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes5c405.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-79.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a6…f582backed Yes47c400.5$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7a…37b9backed Yes49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe983…1786backed Yes5c397.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9970%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b2…2b41backed Yes41c393$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31f…91b0backed No51c387$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.631040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe0…d639backed Yes53c380.95$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b7…06e1backed No61c380.02$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a7…5f17backed No53c369.4$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x546b…5b78backed Yes19c368.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a4…2e60backed Yes6c354.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes39c354$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01d5…1300backed Yes9c353.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2e…e4cebacked Yes6c353.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc06…063fbacked Yes18c350$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef8b…8f82backed Yes9c333.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.970%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…640bbacked No54c305.35$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a4…e051backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed No78c290$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.613863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…b865backed Yes46c290$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes56c285.78$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.