TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0a4…e051

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST3652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+64%+$78.05
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+198.5%+$133
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+239%+$141
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick66cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+130.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$99.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.