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NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,547,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,619,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,547,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hawks33c176,512$57,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,402.9551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks33c172,237$56,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,838.3287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Knicks67c149,247$99,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,251.513534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Hawks35c144,690$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…5f29backed Knicks66c100,000$66,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,0002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks67c40,639$27,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,389.862,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks67c40,283$26,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,489.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hawks34c40,100$13,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,483.9837539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Hawks30c36,950$11,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,133.425925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks67c34,108$22,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,163.921,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks69c25,497$17,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,918.975,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Knicks67c20,010$13,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,603.320551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Hawks33c20,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks66c20,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.8959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.7534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks33c12,900$4,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,28674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks67c11,782$7,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.8944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Knicks69c10,127$6,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.421844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks22c9,900$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks58c9,734$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.032,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Knicks73c9,683$7,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.516051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks71c9,565$6,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.682,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks68c9,555$6,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.071,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Knicks68c9,549$6,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.3519560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Knicks70c9,374$6,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.6944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks26c9,181$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Knicks69c8,732$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.8813063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Knicks58c8,426$4,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.3983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Knicks67c8,011$5,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.2548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks68c7,933$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Knicks68c7,639$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.638148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks49c7,540$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.132,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks68c7,535$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.432,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks70c7,386$5,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2473,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hawks33c7,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Hawks19c7,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Knicks66c6,913$4,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.395156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Knicks67c6,570$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.13751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Knicks68c6,257$4,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.384057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawks24c5,633$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.6434227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks54c5,587$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.7281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Knicks68c5,125$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.150653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Knicks68c5,048$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.4371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Hawks31c5,038$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.468827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Knicks69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Knicks67c4,776$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.128246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks32c4,564$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.0436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Hawks34c4,447$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51216130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Knicks67c4,409$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.2230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Knicks67c4,359$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.3927758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Hawks31c4,137$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.8427247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561a…8e0bbacked Knicks68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.992263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x788a…ed77backed Hawks32c3,400$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdd…aab4backed Knicks66c3,400$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa553…ef40backed Hawks30c3,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Knicks72c3,331$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.1227144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Knicks67c3,237$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.465745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Knicks69c3,174$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.915971.2%42 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Knicks68c3,160$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.218954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Knicks67c3,073$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.229451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks32c3,050$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9761,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…daeebacked Knicks67c3,030$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks68c3,027$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.4589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Knicks66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Knicks68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9813743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Hawks32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9617250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.0776746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Hawks32c2,942$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.2136950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fea…e010backed Knicks80c2,839$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks6c2,821$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.011,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks65c2,810$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.431,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e58…b29abacked Hawks14c2,794$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Knicks62c2,735$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.9661939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78cd…5aa0backed Hawks32c2,700$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Knicks67c2,671$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.975657.1%32 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Hawks34c2,631$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.4528439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7e…8fa1backed Knicks67c2,620$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.65955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Knicks67c2,611$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.5991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…fa5cbacked Hawks34c2,600$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks68c2,563$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.531,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ab…baf7backed Hawks32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hawks33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Hawks36c2,484$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90047949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d50…a4c1backed Knicks69c2,474$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10e…e54abacked Hawks15c2,432$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.063831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks24c2,420$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.071,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Knicks67c2,388$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.982763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e10…6a89backed Knicks69c2,281$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.476352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hawks34c2,254$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.7558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Hawks22c2,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae7…0fd1backed Hawks13c2,210$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks74c2,166$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.2878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks16c2,110$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.174,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…4f91backed Hawks31c2,040$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c7…62dabacked Knicks69c2,028$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.523336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks69c2,017$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.881,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Hawks32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Hawks32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks24c2,000$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4741,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.