TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x060e…2384backed Knicks49c52,549$25,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,757.778037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks51c16,294$8,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,005.692,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks51c15,105$7,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,421.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Knicks50c5,600$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80050653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks49c4,106$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Hawks51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks50c2,195$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks50c2,006$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks50c1,998$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks47c1,972$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.841,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.891,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks53c1,621$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.751,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Hawks52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57649142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks51c1,179$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.712,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Knicks51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Hawks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks49c967$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Knicks51c915$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks50c694.1$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0521152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Hawks51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29421858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Hawks52c578$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4440648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Hawks53c522.64$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Knicks48c378.88$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1111946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks51c322.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.61,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Hawks53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14121749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hawks51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Hawks51c296.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7815052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Knicks48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hawks51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12062347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hawks53c213.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2127939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Hawks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011547%54 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hawks53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6850954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks44c179.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.223,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3854…862dbacked Knicks51c171.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.56055%33 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Knicks51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60aa…0df0backed Knicks51c117.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Knicks51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Knicks47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4752242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks48c96.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.253,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Hawks51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.162349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hawks51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.171747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Hawks51c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2831754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Hawks51c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52dd…95ccbacked Knicks48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Knicks51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6245…5f7ebacked Hawks50c55.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6412450%62 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Hawks50c55.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6415248.7%74 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Hawks51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Hawks51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks51c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Knicks51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Knicks50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks48c48.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.122,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Hawks51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0520456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Knicks47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Knicks57c39.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Knicks51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013250%66 W · 66 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Hawks52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4636450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Hawks51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6431250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Hawks51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6427251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Hawks51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Hawks51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Hawks51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6427353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Hawks51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6431551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Knicks44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8427150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Hawks50c35.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9315651.9%81 W · 75 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Knicks50c30.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hawks49c28.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.771,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Hawks51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.238755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Hawks50c24.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2816550.3%83 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Hawks52c23.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Hawks51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.296346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Hawks52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.088852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…b188backed Hawks55c20.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a6…a17ebacked Hawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012148.8%59 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a51…ef48backed Hawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106642.4%28 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fbd…6ffebacked Hawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109042.2%38 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd4a…7f18backed Hawks52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x804a…f083backed Hawks54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c82…c8ccbacked Hawks51c19.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.