NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8744919dfaf15094788aef71672cdd043db57091c1c7766b217860434aa812b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,034$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Over | 49c | 4,694$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 50c | 2,010$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.1 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 1,857$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 1,790$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,470$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.25 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 1,100$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 51c | 731.69$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.16 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 357.49$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 50c | 353.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 320.51$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 54c | 271.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 152.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 9c | 152.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 53c | 131$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 130.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 49c | 95.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 51c | 93.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 48c | 49.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 47.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Over | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4bf7backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…d6bebacked Under | 57c | 29.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Under | 57c | 18.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.