NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b75cc3fbe45d88da3bfaede94d719d723fad043488c7e392022d6f4c2d68bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Knicks | 52c | 40,859$21,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,246.76 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 48c | 35,044$16,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,233.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Knicks | 54c | 22,064$12,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,019.43 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 47c | 11,488$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Knicks | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Hawks | 49c | 5,561$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 45c | 4,752$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 45c | 4,100$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Knicks | 52c | 2,535$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.52 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Hawks | 46c | 2,445$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.19 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 45c | 1,707$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Hawks | 46c | 1,566$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.59 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 48c | 1,552$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 52c | 828.35$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.44 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hawks | 46c | 822.47$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.13 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Hawks | 46c | 809.56$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Hawks | 47c | 664.26$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.15 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Hawks | 48c | 596.15$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 48c | 588$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 46c | 512.55$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.78 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hawks | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Hawks | 46c | 364.02$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Knicks | 53c | 343.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 46c | 229.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hawks | 46c | 221.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Hawks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Knicks | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks | 46c | 127$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 46c | 114.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Hawks | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Hawks | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Hawks | 46c | 99.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Hawks | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cbf1backed Hawks | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Hawks | 44c | 68.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Knicks | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hawks | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Knicks | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Knicks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Knicks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Knicks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Hawks | 46c | 32.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Knicks | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Knicks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Hawks | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Knicks | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Hawks | 48c | 26.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…ccfdbacked Hawks | 47c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Knicks | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Knicks | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Knicks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.