NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ae2437d723b03cf3785a5159ea5964b23d00a6d925a8da62d5f30238de5003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 15,200$7,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,602 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…ebe6backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…cb55backed Under | 50c | 6,440$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,972$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 2,790$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 52c | 1,829$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.08 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 51c | 1,559$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.11 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 1,530$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,489$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.88 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 1,200$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,057$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 853$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 837$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 536.73$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 51c | 380.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 184$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 158.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 43c | 139.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 51c | 114.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 111.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 46c | 107.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6d…d25abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 83.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Under | 54c | 79.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 51c | 73.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 61c | 62.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 41.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Under | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 51c | 36.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 36.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 52c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.