NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea41159fc3451ca7341c770c37c2db6b00847dc2cae658e23fd59685fa849e1

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,230 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks	35c	347.69$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.29	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Knicks	65c	307.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.69	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks	61c	302.69$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.05	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…230ebacked Hawks	49c	298.35$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	+19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659e…d0b0backed Hawks	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks	63c	137.99$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.51	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Hawks	36c	128$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.08	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Hawks	39c	126.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Hawks	36c	117$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.12	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Knicks	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Knicks	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	126	44.4%56 W · 70 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks	60c	50.37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.15	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Knicks	64c	33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Knicks	64c	32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Knicks	64c	29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.44	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd7…3118backed Hawks	38c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Knicks	64c	27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.72	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Knicks	64c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Knicks	64c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Knicks	64c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Knicks	64c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.56	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Knicks	65c	20.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.07	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hawks	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Knicks	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78d…e6fbbacked Knicks	64c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.12	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks	61c	16.42$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Knicks	64c	16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.76	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event