NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3763be3b1386298bf51f36b9757ef8c7cf9b1f04f9f8e948c09a99949c03333b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hawks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Knicks | 46c | 590$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 43c | 211.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Hawks | 54c | 190$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks | 47c | 150.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Hawks | 57c | 137$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hawks | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Hawks | 57c | 117$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Knicks | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…9950backed Hawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Hawks | 57c | 88.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Knicks | 43c | 88.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Knicks | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Knicks | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Knicks | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Knicks | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…2d82backed Hawks | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Knicks | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Knicks | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hawks | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Knicks vs. HawksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.