Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b8e8d2cc3b2037f73ca95966674ff4fa7fc4a3d9a5308d3c7aa0a49c1f9bb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $702,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $813,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 180,000$42,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,299.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 72c | 116,277$83,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,623.89 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 65c | 52,638$34,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,257.02 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 63c | 31,343$19,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,456.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 29,677$10,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,387.02 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 34c | 20,894$7,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,103.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 19,974$15,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 36c | 19,307$7,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,024.06 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 65c | 19,019$12,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,656.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 66c | 16,000$10,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 35c | 15,762$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 18c | 13,963$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.77 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 13,921$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.55 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 35c | 11,246$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.42 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 35c | 8,200$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.95 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 65c | 6,086$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 35c | 5,854$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 5,623$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.76 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ac…caedbacked Yes | 64c | 5,596$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 64c | 4,683$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 4,174$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 19c | 4,107$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 63c | 3,871$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 77c | 3,792$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.44 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 80c | 3,756$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.44 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 35c | 3,689$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 34c | 3,336$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 35c | 3,100$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked No | 36c | 2,725$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…269dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,521$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 35c | 2,516$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.11 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 35c | 2,426$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.51 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 64c | 2,350$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 2,277$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 65c | 2,131$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.91 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 19c | 1,865$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.19 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 78c | 1,747$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,746$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…f10dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,725$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed No | 9c | 1,700$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 35c | 1,693$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 34c | 1,667$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 36c | 1,525$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 67c | 1,515$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Yes | 77c | 1,492$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…c26cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,476$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,464$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…8289backed Yes | 64c | 1,441$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…ad59backed Yes | 63c | 1,423$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,226$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fc…398bbacked No | 14c | 1,206$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes | 80c | 1,005$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 35c | 1,005$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 16c | 973$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 62c | 954$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.52 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 938.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 21c | 888.64$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 64c | 887.2$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes | 64c | 826.47$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 76c | 795.35$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 34c | 774.64$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 33c | 747.58$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Yes | 65c | 734.83$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 34c | 499.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 37c | 492.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 66c | 475.83$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 36c | 470$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 447.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 66c | 424.24$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 34c | 420$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Yes | 65c | 414.35$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 64c | 407.46$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 64c | 406.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 37c | 399.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 64c | 390.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 36c | 385.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 65c | 385.54$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.