Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174787e77a849c1d9dbab8edc63d1d5d6965508d976049203efa123a88198444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 80c | 8,284$6,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 13c | 5,619$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 3,987$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.85 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 20c | 1,499$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,269$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 1,091$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,060$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 1,003$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 14c | 945.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 80c | 886.25$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 16c | 644.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 21c | 604.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 20c | 591.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 20c | 549.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 80c | 468.27$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 79c | 312.38$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 309$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 267$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 234.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 13c | 215.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…5010backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…a9d8backed Yes | 21c | 145.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 16c | 132.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a74cbacked Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3014…4ecdbacked Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 13c | 102.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 10c | 102.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f470backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 91.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…9fe1backed Yes | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 18c | 83.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…4f13backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…7d44backed No | 79c | 52.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…676fbacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 41.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…266cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.