Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32662dad05236ef0c6e249f650e13225f5969fe03b8052d9005889727a17bae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,898$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 4c | 5,082$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.71 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 4,721$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.95 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 3,258$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.48 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,986$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 5c | 1,720$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,653$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,455$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 14c | 1,226$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…a1ccbacked Yes | 16c | 899.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 660.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…cbaabacked Yes | 6c | 648.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 600.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…8793backed Yes | 16c | 508$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 501$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 16c | 440.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 10c | 411.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 16c | 383.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 3c | 372.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…5d42backed Yes | 21c | 251.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 16c | 238.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 14c | 233.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 201$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 16c | 196.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 16c | 150.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…0925backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a74cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 17c | 90.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…0169backed Yes | 16c | 82.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 16c | 70.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…2236backed Yes | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.