NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed00dec279879ea01aac99c0f0261d9f48ca49219cce842f7b85342fdd2825d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Nuggets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,320,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,426,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,320,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Magic | 40c | 1,007,126$401,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605,281 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Magic | 40c | 758,074$300,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457,912.06 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Nuggets | 61c | 500,000$305,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304,999.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 60c | 442,989$265,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,763.43 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Nuggets | 60c | 421,502$252,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,901.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…5f29backed Nuggets | 62c | 335,000$206,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,199.99 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 38c | 133,860$51,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,392.78 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Magic | 40c | 125,247$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,247.2 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 36c | 114,862$41,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,275.62 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 38c | 104,379$39,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,715.1 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets | 63c | 100,000$63,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,099.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 63c | 84,817$53,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,734.26 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Magic | 14c | 74,337$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,261.49 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 61c | 72,519$44,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,216.41 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 60c | 46,892$28,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,134.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 38c | 45,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,900 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Nuggets | 61c | 41,998$25,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,498.79 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Magic | 39c | 41,082$16,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,041.2 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 38c | 39,474$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,473.64 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 54c | 33,619$18,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,108.32 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 78c | 28,200$21,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,995.92 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Magic | 38c | 26,000$9,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,139.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Magic | 38c | 25,752$9,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,966.15 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 61c | 25,000$15,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,149.93 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Magic | 38c | 24,805$9,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,478.86 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 45c | 21,844$9,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,023.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 35c | 21,200$7,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,743.69 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 33c | 20,602$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,716.4 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 62c | 20,003$12,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,401.83 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Magic | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.97 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…1fefbacked Nuggets | 75c | 19,885$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Magic | 37c | 16,041$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,105.83 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Magic | 20c | 15,736$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,655.33 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Nuggets | 77c | 15,526$11,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,894.97 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Magic | 38c | 14,467$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,942.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 63c | 13,926$8,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,815.76 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 64c | 13,652$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 49c | 12,919$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.46 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 44c | 12,747$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,084.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 76c | 12,087$9,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,130.58 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Magic | 38c | 11,340$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.42 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 61c | 11,072$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 57c | 10,948$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 38c | 10,785$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.88 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,644$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.66 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Magic | 39c | 10,256$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Nuggets | 62c | 10,200$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 65c | 10,035$6,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,519.49 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Nuggets | 60c | 10,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Nuggets | 62c | 10,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,159.97 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Magic | 37c | 9,998$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.03 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 62c | 9,068$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.01 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Nuggets | 64c | 9,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.98 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 60c | 8,500$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 51c | 8,028$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.24 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 37c | 8,001$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.63 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Nuggets | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.96 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Magic | 34c | 7,999$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.32 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Nuggets | 63c | 7,602$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 61c | 7,341$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.62 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Magic | 35c | 7,267$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.55 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Nuggets | 63c | 7,234$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.24 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…2cd5backed Magic | 34c | 7,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Magic | 39c | 6,654$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…823cbacked Nuggets | 71c | 6,469$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.23 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.34per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 58c | 6,431$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.91 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Nuggets | 63c | 6,400$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nuggets | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Magic | 24c | 5,693$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.47 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,607$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nuggets | 63c | 5,499$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.79 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 23c | 5,495$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.14 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 38c | 5,285$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.7 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 36c | 5,278$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.78 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 25c | 5,120$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Magic | 39c | 5,038$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.4 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Nuggets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Nuggets | 62c | 4,550$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Magic | 44c | 4,513$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.83 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Magic | 39c | 4,502$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.87 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic | 44c | 4,471$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.33 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 36c | 4,096$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.44 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Magic | 36c | 4,042$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.67 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 42c | 3,913$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,902$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.42 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 38c | 3,726$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.41 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Nuggets | 64c | 3,599$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.68 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…fa5cbacked Nuggets | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Magic | 45c | 3,339$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.03 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Magic | 37c | 3,209$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.65 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Nuggets | 60c | 3,200$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Nuggets | 61c | 3,188$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.67 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 38c | 3,100$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Nuggets | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Magic | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…67c6backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Magic | 54c | 2,988$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.89 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Magicthis page
- Nuggets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.