NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01df6b96f029a392168f063f66e601c060c8a01ded9e5a2cb6c1ed900b8911c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Nuggets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Magic | 51c | 335,361$171,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,281.28 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Nuggets | 52c | 81,159$41,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,898.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 48c | 75,337$36,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,905.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Nuggets | 55c | 30,306$16,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,668.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Magic | 45c | 30,306$13,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,665.05 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 49c | 21,045$10,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,302 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 15,664$7,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,802.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 49c | 13,703$6,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,714.54 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 11,000$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 48c | 9,888$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.76 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.18 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…2d4abacked Magic | 48c | 2,994$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,306$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,159$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.71 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 49c | 2,031$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.89 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Magic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,877$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,598$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.65 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,194$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Magic | 49c | 820$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 47c | 638$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Nuggets | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 48c | 585.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Nuggets | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…cc8ebacked Magic | 48c | 425$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Nuggets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 49c | 339.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Nuggets | 52c | 276.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Magic | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 49c | 233$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 48c | 221.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 51c | 199$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets | 51c | 192.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 50c | 106.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nuggets | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Nuggets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Nuggets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 49c | 90.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nuggets | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Magic | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 47c | 77.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Nuggets | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Magic | 51c | 72.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Nuggets | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Nuggets | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e9…1ed6backed Nuggets | 51c | 69.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 48c | 67.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Magic | 45c | 54.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Nuggets | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Nuggets | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Nuggets | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…3153backed Magic | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Nuggets | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d267backed Nuggets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Nuggets | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Nuggets | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Nuggets | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Nuggets | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…29ecbacked Nuggets | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da0…8bb8backed Magic | 50c | 33.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Nuggets | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…6c7ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Nuggets | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…ff5ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 27.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Nuggets | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)this page
- Nuggets vs. MagicMagic won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.