NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc361cd821357d4310e1d2b7ad743b45430fae2148e7e31ff0d4fe7782e830ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Nuggets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 52c | 55,467$28,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,628.34 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets | 49c | 30,000$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…5f29backed Nuggets | 48c | 27,000$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,960 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 48c | 26,287$12,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,659.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed Magic | 50c | 17,087$8,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,543.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 53c | 15,104$8,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,098.89 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 52c | 11,650$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,554.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.89 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Nuggets | 48c | 8,500$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,475$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 46c | 6,368$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…3800backed Magic | 52c | 6,004$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 52c | 5,122$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.36 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 50c | 5,072$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.07 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,168$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.64 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,097$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.19 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.93 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.03 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,372$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 52c | 2,000$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.33 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 50c | 1,742$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,646$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.91 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,636$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.54 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Magic | 54c | 1,550$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 53c | 1,358$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.49 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,108$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.78 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Magic | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…3153backed Magic | 52c | 900.3$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Nuggets | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 73c | 612.85$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Magic | 52c | 577.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Magic | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Nuggets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Nuggets | 47c | 403.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Magic | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Nuggets | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Nuggets | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 48c | 393$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…c803backed Magic | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Nuggets | 48c | 372.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Nuggets | 47c | 348.94$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 13c | 348.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…cc8ebacked Magic | 52c | 346.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 325$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nuggets | 46c | 316.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 300.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Magic | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 48c | 288$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Magic | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic | 50c | 219.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Magic | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…08c0backed Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Magic | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Magic | 51c | 157.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Magic | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Nuggets | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Nuggets | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…fe4dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 48c | 111.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Nuggets | 48c | 110.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Magic | 49c | 109.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Nuggets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Nuggets | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Nuggets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Nuggets | 52c | 83.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Nuggets | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Magic | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb346…3538backed Nuggets | 47c | 74.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Magic | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Nuggets | 52c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Nuggets | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Magic | 42c | 71.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Nuggets | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Nuggets | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Magic | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nuggets | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da0…8bb8backed Magic | 53c | 57.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)this page
- Nuggets vs. MagicMagic won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.