NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac2ffe56e0baf504292ab168e3194febb6d0904905817a0950923cbf1e30a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,265,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,301,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,265,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 999 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Suns | 24c | 182,445$43,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,927.66 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 35c | 159,305$56,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,294.76 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 55c | 62,302$34,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,346.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 77c | 59,637$45,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,641.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Suns | 24c | 55,286$13,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,017.61 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Suns | 14c | 42,463$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,540.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 25c | 35,220$8,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,441.64 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 76c | 34,400$26,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,190 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Thunder | 77c | 33,499$25,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,828.41 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 77c | 31,319$24,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,094.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 18c | 26,746$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,001.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Suns | 25c | 25,760$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,212.77 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 22c | 24,916$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,447.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Thunder | 56c | 23,622$13,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,273.24 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 76c | 23,395$17,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,780.2 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Thunder | 74c | 21,698$16,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,079.51 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 74c | 20,383$15,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,056.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Thunder | 77c | 20,006$15,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,404.6 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Suns | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Suns | 23c | 18,004$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,775.95 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Suns | 23c | 17,984$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,847.75 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Thunder | 76c | 17,471$13,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,277.96 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Suns | 19c | 17,011$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,739.02 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 22c | 16,888$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,122.7 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Suns | 23c | 16,857$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,980.21 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Thunder | 79c | 16,170$12,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,825.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 25c | 15,543$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.69 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 78c | 15,448$12,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,107.72 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Thunder | 76c | 14,000$10,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,640 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns | 38c | 13,917$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,627.43 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Thunder | 76c | 13,808$10,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,494.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Suns | 25c | 13,755$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,315.96 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Thunder | 78c | 13,519$10,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,509.15 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 13c | 13,459$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.24 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 22c | 13,024$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.26 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 9c | 12,926$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.58 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Suns | 23c | 12,913$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,942.82 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Suns | 16c | 12,500$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,449.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…7e38backed Thunder | 79c | 12,000$9,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,509.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 22c | 11,518$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,985.67 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 21c | 11,430$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,029.46 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Suns | 24c | 10,800$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,216 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Suns | 23c | 10,131$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,801.17 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Suns | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.98 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Suns | 37c | 10,000$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.44 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 76c | 9,788$7,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,468.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Suns | 23c | 9,759$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.49 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 20c | 9,660$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,682.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 22c | 9,500$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Suns | 74c | 9,111$6,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.92 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 76c | 8,976$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,821.75 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Suns | 20c | 8,964$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,157.15 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Suns | 31c | 8,839$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,108.53 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Thunder | 7c | 8,531$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.19 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Suns | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.33 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 75c | 7,691$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.55 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Thunder | 79c | 6,959$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497.3 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Thunder | 77c | 6,915$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,295.86 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Thunder | 78c | 6,650$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 61c | 6,541$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Thunder | 76c | 6,412$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.12 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…b7a6backed Thunder | 76c | 6,400$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Suns | 9c | 6,399$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,237$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.34 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Thunder | 72c | 6,112$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Suns | 23c | 6,087$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.62 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…fe44backed Suns | 22c | 6,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Suns | 22c | 6,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.89 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Thunder | 26c | 5,906$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.87 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Thunder | 53c | 5,800$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 79c | 5,598$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.81 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Suns | 11c | 5,404$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.15 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Suns | 34c | 5,116$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.48 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Thunder | 79c | 5,100$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Suns | 71c | 5,028$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.81 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Thunder | 80c | 5,022$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Suns | 14c | 4,875$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.41 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Thunder | 68c | 4,634$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.09 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Suns | 24c | 4,583$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.33 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…bb0bbacked Thunder | 1c | 4,476$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Thunder | 8c | 4,288$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns | 35c | 4,265$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.51 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Thunder | 77c | 4,232$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…18bbbacked Suns | 20c | 4,095$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 25c | 4,050$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Thunder | 70c | 4,032$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.78 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Suns | 23c | 4,014$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.89 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Thunder | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.96 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…a84abacked Thunder | 73c | 3,917$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Thunder | 76c | 3,900$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Thunder | 5c | 3,882$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…fe84backed Thunder | 68c | 3,700$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…5e5fbacked Thunder | 76c | 3,680$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…fddabacked Thunder | 77c | 3,591$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.39 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4501…aefbbacked Thunder | 74c | 3,539$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 77c | 3,500$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Suns | 36c | 3,500$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.8 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Sunsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.