TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $935 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c400$216 inLost-$21624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c397.65$183 inWon+$214.362,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over53c94.87$50 inLost-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under48c60.2$29 inWon+$31.281,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c59$26 inWon+$32.583,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed Over58c53.25$31 inLost-$30.673548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c50$27 inLost-$26.51,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost-$251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Under50c40$20 inWon+$2012052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over49c30.69$15 inLost-$15.0493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed Under51c30.69$16 inWon+$15.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under43c29.63$13 inWon+$16.872,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1288…dbbbbacked Under54c29.19$16 inWon+$13.541442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e3…fe95backed Under54c28.04$15 inWon+$12.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+153.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c28$13 inWon+$14.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over57c24.18$14 inLost-$13.789954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.