NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7228bc6b25e4b4e84f59d2ccda57e0d3f845a9c063d8a16a3a36ebd3cda5648b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 52c | 13,443$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 57c | 9,753$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.98 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 50c | 8,085$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.15 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 43c | 6,203$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 54c | 5,361$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 52c | 4,641$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.33 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Thunder | 65c | 4,495$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 45c | 3,591$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.86 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 44c | 3,231$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Thunder | 54c | 3,133$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.55 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 47c | 3,071$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 48c | 2,886$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Suns | 34c | 2,108$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.47 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Thunder | 65c | 1,498$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Suns | 43c | 1,494$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.16 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 43c | 1,396$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.72 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Suns | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,163$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Suns | 37c | 962.22$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.22 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Thunder | 59c | 934.78$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.01 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Suns | 49c | 877.55$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.55 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 46c | 876$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Suns | 47c | 797.39$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.62 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Thunder | 7c | 736.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 45c | 678.14$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Suns | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Thunder | 63c | 592.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 47c | 573$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Thunder | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Thunder | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 38c | 372.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Thunder | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Thunder | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Suns | 44c | 309.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Thunder | 7c | 305.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Thunder | 51c | 300.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 49c | 300.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Thunder | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Thunder | 44c | 297.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Suns | 44c | 283.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 62c | 282$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 49c | 280.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Thunder | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Thunder | 34c | 212.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Suns | 45c | 206.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Thunder | 49c | 202.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Thunder | 51c | 201$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Suns | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Suns | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Thunder | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Thunder | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Thunder | 65c | 199.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 49c | 191.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 80c | 187$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…1ad0backed Thunder | 55c | 182.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Thunder | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Thunder | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Thunder | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 50%124 W · 124 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Thunder | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 45c | 168$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Thunder | 53c | 165.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Suns | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Suns | 47c | 128.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Thunder | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Thunder | 12c | 112.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Thunder | 58c | 108.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Suns | 49c | 107.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 48c | 101.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Suns | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Thunder | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 53c | 97.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Suns | 48c | 96.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Thunder | 52c | 96.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Thunder | 54c | 94.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns | 38c | 92.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 48c | 92.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Suns | 55c | 91.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Thunder | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Thunder | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Thunder | 66c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Suns | 35c | 85.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Thunder | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…cdbdbacked Thunder | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Suns | 34c | 70.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Thunder | 51c | 68.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Thunder | 51c | 66.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Suns | 44c | 64.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Suns | 35c | 60.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…4252backed Thunder | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Suns | 49c | 52.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…c7bfbacked Thunder | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Suns | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Suns | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 78c | 43.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…0d47backed Thunder | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Thunder | 53c | 37.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns won
- Thunder vs. SunsSuns won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.