NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x349bdf629a741e34c6f3beaca61e327cbd84f50de7ff2dc2ff3e1765abe0585e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 53c | 325,600$171,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,122.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Suns | 48c | 192,600$92,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,936.18 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 47c | 75,442$35,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,008.75 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 47c | 28,743$13,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,248.28 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns | 47c | 13,628$6,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,155.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 48c | 9,301$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 8,904$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 53c | 7,122$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 50c | 7,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Thunder | 50c | 6,210$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Suns | 49c | 3,281$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.31 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…a4c9backed Thunder | 49c | 2,722$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Suns | 51c | 2,069$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.63 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Suns | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,973$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Suns | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,528$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 50c | 1,432$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Suns | 51c | 1,349$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.02 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Thunder | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Thunder | 53c | 999.21$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Suns | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Suns | 42c | 800$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.8 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 48c | 788.98$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.27 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Thunder | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 50c | 685$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 34c | 632.27$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Suns | 47c | 631.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.46 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Suns | 48c | 613.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.15 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Thunder | 68c | 537.86$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.58 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 46c | 531.49$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 46c | 399.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Suns | 51c | 396.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Thunder | 66c | 379.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Thunder | 50c | 363.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Thunder | 76c | 345.87$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Suns | 48c | 343.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Thunder | 51c | 342.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Thunder | 54c | 338.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Suns | 51c | 329.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Suns | 17c | 297.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Thunder | 54c | 280.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.26 | 248 | 50%124 W · 124 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Thunder | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Suns | 46c | 252.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…c90fbacked Thunder | 52c | 231.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Suns | 55c | 228.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Suns | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Suns | 37c | 205$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Suns | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Suns | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Suns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Suns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…3995backed Thunder | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Suns | 49c | 182.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Suns | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Suns | 52c | 163.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Suns | 27c | 143.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…b7f1backed Thunder | 53c | 133.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…8d17backed Thunder | 46c | 128.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Thunder | 50c | 114.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Suns | 47c | 113.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Suns | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Suns | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Thunder | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Suns | 52c | 96.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Suns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Suns | 32c | 92.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Suns | 51c | 85.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Suns | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Thunder | 66c | 75.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 47c | 73.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Suns | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 48c | 62.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Suns | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Thunder | 52c | 57.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Suns | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Thunder | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Suns | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Suns | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Suns | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Suns | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Suns | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…9940backed Thunder | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…fab0backed Suns | 46c | 49.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Suns | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Suns | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…536ebacked Thunder | 52c | 46.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Suns won
- Thunder vs. SunsSuns won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.