Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3274dc133ed901bd33e31027ee0d66c01b6b1c85abf4e449f84043e374199e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 14,510$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.14 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed No | 20c | 9,750$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 23c | 8,006$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 7,478$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.61 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 80c | 6,016$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.8 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.91 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 79c | 5,959$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.22 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.9 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 80c | 4,757$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.32 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 20c | 3,200$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 2c | 2,978$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 22c | 2,637$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 22c | 2,616$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Yes | 14c | 2,345$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 21c | 1,563$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…62a3backed Yes | 80c | 1,510$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 20c | 1,500$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 21c | 1,471$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed Yes | 7c | 1,451$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,223$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,126$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 13c | 1,080$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 78c | 961.54$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 79c | 891.99$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.68 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 886.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 80c | 877.5$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.23 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 797.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes | 80c | 786.33$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 4c | 714.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 11c | 711.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 80c | 677.95$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 79c | 628$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.12 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 19c | 611.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.13 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 80c | 574.29$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 78c | 550$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 78c | 515.17$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…f051backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 79c | 481.01$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 78c | 445$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes | 5c | 445$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 80c | 430$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Yes | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 78c | 382.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 15c | 337.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 12c | 333.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…1fc2backed Yes | 12c | 324$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 298.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 11c | 281.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 20c | 278.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 80c | 255.36$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 8c | 243.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 62c | 241.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 6c | 203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 80c | 187$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…e333backed Yes | 80c | 186.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…d808backed Yes | 69c | 176$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 69c | 176$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 78c | 174.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 78c | 167.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…0432backed Yes | 7c | 167$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…ac56backed Yes | 80c | 160$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 21c | 159.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 79c | 155.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 155.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Yes | 80c | 144.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Yes | 78c | 138.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 80c | 138.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 80c | 131.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 11c | 128.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 78c | 125$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…cfbfbacked Yes | 79c | 124.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 21c | 124$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 24c | 122.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 21c | 122.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 80c | 116.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.