NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41451683030a56eb556c338d921297e876b6504e2140ebf865cdda3740d52c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,735,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,718,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,735,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 675 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda3…cab2backed Jazz | 28c | 295,320$82,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,641.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz | 30c | 181,557$54,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,135.49 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 72c | 125,555$90,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,155.4 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic | 73c | 80,000$58,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.98 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 78c | 70,768$54,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,782.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 72c | 69,375$50,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,363.06 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Magic | 71c | 68,965$48,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.98 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz | 14c | 47,002$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,655.58 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 71c | 40,425$28,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz | 28c | 36,125$10,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,135 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Jazz | 23c | 29,329$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.81 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Magic | 73c | 27,000$19,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,290 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 72c | 24,000$17,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Magic | 72c | 21,974$15,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,152.72 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 75c | 20,269$15,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz | 23c | 19,286$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.32 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Jazz | 28c | 14,953$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.77 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Jazz | 16c | 14,900$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 73c | 14,555$10,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.43 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz | 16c | 13,205$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.57 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 23c | 12,951$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Jazz | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz | 1c | 11,444$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz | 2c | 11,261$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz | 18c | 11,159$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 72c | 11,153$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.33 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 73c | 10,177$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.78 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…449dbacked Jazz | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Jazz | 28c | 9,660$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 71c | 9,419$6,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.23 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Jazz | 31c | 9,000$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Jazz | 1c | 8,999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 76c | 8,731$6,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Jazz | 4c | 8,317$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.19 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Jazz | 27c | 7,807$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.94 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz | 17c | 7,249$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 48c | 7,083$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.43 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Jazz | 31c | 7,066$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked Magic | 70c | 6,683$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…316bbacked Jazz | 12c | 6,503$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Jazz | 28c | 6,500$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Magic | 60c | 6,284$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.43 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Magic | 71c | 6,156$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 28c | 6,150$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…fe44backed Jazz | 28c | 6,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9daa…5fb4backed Jazz | 2c | 5,903$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 2c | 5,385$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Jazz | 10c | 4,992$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…4b30backed Magic | 69c | 4,983$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 28c | 4,432$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 1c | 4,275$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jazz | 22c | 4,142$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.65 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz | 22c | 3,868$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.53 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…88babacked Jazz | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 66c | 3,468$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.08 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz | 19c | 3,468$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.82 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Jazz | 11c | 3,369$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.56 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 72c | 3,322$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz | 26c | 3,170$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.95 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Jazz | 29c | 3,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Jazz | 65c | 2,998$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.57 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 2c | 2,792$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Magic | 71c | 2,724$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.63 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz | 28c | 2,679$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…f726backed Jazz | 16c | 2,674$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.92 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Jazz | 6c | 2,592$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 48c | 2,536$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.27 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Magic | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz | 25c | 2,488$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.98 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Magic | 71c | 2,401$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.41 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 71c | 2,400$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.7 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Jazz | 23c | 2,362$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.31 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 70c | 2,306$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.82 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Jazz | 28c | 2,238$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.62 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Jazz | 45c | 2,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Jazz | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.93 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 71c | 2,201$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.38 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Jazz | 5c | 2,185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 73c | 2,071$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.29 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Jazz | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Magic | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Jazz | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Jazz | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Jazz | 28c | 1,882$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.24 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 71c | 1,867$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.43 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Jazz | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Magic | 72c | 1,846$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.98 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Jazz | 25c | 1,836$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Jazz | 29c | 1,831$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Jazz | 39c | 1,813$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.24 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz | 29c | 1,759$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.17 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Magic | 62c | 1,729$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.51 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Jazz | 23c | 1,683$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz | 36c | 1,657$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.46 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Magic | 72c | 1,640$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.11 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Jazz | 35c | 1,614$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…1100backed Jazz | 17c | 1,613$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.33 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 17c | 1,602$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Jazzthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Magic vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Magic vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Over won
- Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.