NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65e0880d3605f283e2d862f29e0c50204fcc12e20648061a15f0b5592d303f7

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Magic, Jazz
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $260,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $266,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,506 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Magic	53c	192,508$102,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,868.85	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz	46c	92,828$42,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,949.23	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	46c	20,003$9,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,701.75	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz	48c	20,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,400	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	47c	13,218$6,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,000.83	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz	47c	10,636$4,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,637.08	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz	48c	10,150$4,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,278	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Jazz	57c	10,010$5,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,293.74	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Jazz	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Jazz	51c	8,040$4,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,939.4	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic	52c	8,000$4,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,160	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Magic	52c	7,991$4,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,154.6	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	47c	7,682$3,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,609.8	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Jazz	47c	6,000$2,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,210	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Magic	49c	5,567$2,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,728.77	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.04	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,650	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic	51c	4,704$2,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.19	173	54.3%94 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	46c	4,093$1,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,190.96	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Magic	52c	3,383$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.82	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz	50c	2,739$1,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.5	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	47c	2,100$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic	53c	1,700$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.86	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	51c	1,311$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.22	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz	54c	1,264$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.34	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz	46c	1,195$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.3	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz	47c	1,191$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.23	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Magic	37c	1,040$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.76	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	48c	874$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.48	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	49c	753$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.19	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic	53c	750$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.5	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Jazz	55c	723.73$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.68	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz	48c	699.97$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.98	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz	47c	638$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.14	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Jazz	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Jazz	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Jazz	51c	588.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.24	232	48.7%113 W · 119 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic	49c	494.99$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.35	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Jazz	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Magic	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jazz	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Magic	50c	259$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.35	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic	36c	238.63$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.91	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Jazz	49c	229.06$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.74	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Jazz	42c	228.49$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.61	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Jazz	49c	204.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.38	189	54.5%103 W · 86 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Jazz	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Jazz	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Magic	49c	196.07$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.07	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Jazz	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Magic	53c	181.88$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.4	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8d…edbebacked Jazz	55c	180$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Jazz	50c	143$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.07	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz	51c	137.25$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.25	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Jazz	51c	108.01$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.92	353	26.6%94 W · 259 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Jazz	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jazz	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Magic	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Magic	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Jazz	50c	99.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.88	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Jazz	48c	97.44$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.67	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Magic	46c	96.52$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz	48c	95$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Magic	48c	90.41$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.11	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Magic	48c	83.18$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.25	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb5…440cbacked Magic	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Magic	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic	40c	78.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz	46c	61.76$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.53	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Jazz	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Magic	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Magic	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Jazz	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Jazz	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Jazz	51c	49.41$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.21	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd663…05ecbacked Magic	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733e…c558backed Jazz	54c	37.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed Magic	80c	36.84$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz	53c	30.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Magic	57c	29.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36a5…ac2dbacked Jazz	49c	28.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Jazz	45c	28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Jazz	51c	27.45$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.45	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic	49c	27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6366…8ddebacked Jazz	43c	25.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.7wins	-0.28per pick	59cpaid	-48%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Jazz	49c	24.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Jazz	61c	20.33$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.96	81	56.8%46 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x255f…dad2backed Jazz	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a51…ef48backed Jazz	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Jazz	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Magic	63c	18.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event