TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0155…a6ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112.6
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$122.6
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80.6
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80.6
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+660.9%+$131.52
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+354.5%+$133.31
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+376.2%+$111.35
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+306.3%+$90.66
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.26
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$55.08
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+244.8%+$32.64
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.76
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+316.7%+$42.21
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-77.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morehouse College Maroon vs. Howard Bisonbacked Morehouse College Maroon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Akron Zipsbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.59
Lamar Cardinals vs. McNeese State Cowboysbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26
USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
North Florida Ospreys vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stetson Hatters vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$79.29
Elms College Blazers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Elms College Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Huston-Tillotson Rams vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Huston-Tillotson Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Centenary Gentlemen vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Centenary Gentlemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah Utes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Southern Jaguars vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80.6
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Worcester State Lancers vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Worcester State Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$104.43
CSUN Matadors vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$75.3
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$68.88
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utahbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$59.2
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$59.2
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+316.7%+$187.47
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$59.5
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+97.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+93.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs FengDa Gaming (BO3)backed FengDa Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Just Swing (BO3)backed Just Swing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+684.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+684.3%+$4,677.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.