Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa019ffcc12f6e8962ddf3d97de33dcddbf86f952e3c0ffc99851dd25431a457d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79e6…b1c2backed Yes | 1c | 18,884$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 9,794$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.99 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,979$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 7c | 3,882$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 3,783$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 6c | 3,531$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…4040backed Yes | 7c | 2,770$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes | 2c | 2,268$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Yes | 1c | 1,971$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,608$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,499$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 1c | 1,145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 7c | 1,131$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 5c | 999.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 10c | 867.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 2c | 805$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…c7e6backed Yes | 6c | 725.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 8c | 604.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 8c | 525$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 8c | 399.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Yes | 6c | 397.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102a…7768backed Yes | 4c | 387.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 6c | 326.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 6c | 283.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 9c | 275$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 7c | 208.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 8c | 193.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Yes | 8c | 189.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a7…6713backed Yes | 8c | 139.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24?this page
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Mozambique end in a draw?No won
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.