Fifa International · resolved market
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Mozambique end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad65931a19c28a14d176f85b1c05228a71e7294e19dc9aae5fdc2d44ba14b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 16c | 11,434$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.24 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 31c | 6,489$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 23c | 6,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 72c | 4,133$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,553$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 2,154$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.28 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 2,073$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,462$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 10c | 1,371$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,313$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,036$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Yes | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 19c | 969.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 778$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 73c | 750$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 7c | 514$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 24c | 485.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 460.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 5c | 421$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 418.32$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 7c | 416.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…a297backed Yes | 28c | 399$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 8c | 338$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 6c | 299.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 275$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 74c | 229$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 10c | 203.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Yes | 28c | 175.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Yes | 22c | 172.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…77dfbacked Yes | 18c | 158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Yes | 16c | 150.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…b1c2backed Yes | 12c | 146.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 18c | 135.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 77c | 127.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 20c | 113.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 15c | 85.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Yes | 22c | 67.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 17c | 63.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…676fbacked Yes | 17c | 61.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…d6f0backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…b7efbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…7edebacked No | 72c | 39.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 330 | 59.1%195 W · 135 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Mozambique end in a draw?this page
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?Yes won
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.