NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f02461a01d74ec056137a27c6acb20e80bc94c3afe23b6f6650448bda5fe0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Avangard Omsk, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d58…4e81backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 1,629$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…9886backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 1,615$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…d1dabacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 1,317$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…69a5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 1,099$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…5121backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 1,065$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…9d85backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 1,029$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…05ccbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 21c | 1,027$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…0c52backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 951$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…900cbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 851$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…c961backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 845$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…355fbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 817$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…85dbbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 812$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked Avangard Omsk | 79c | 756$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…ef4ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 21c | 730$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…6e3abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 699$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…f1a6backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 683$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…d210backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 598$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316a…0614backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 593$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…3dabbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 21c | 589$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…8401backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 569$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…f8d1backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 568$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c8acbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 557$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03d…0aa2backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 520$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…cedcbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 496$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…f91ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…0997backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 433$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…29bbbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 431$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…e896backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 412$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…efbebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 398$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…c374backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 383$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…694dbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 360$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…17ddbacked Avangard Omsk | 79c | 360$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…4468backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 334$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…cb83backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 331$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…16b1backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 323$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…5eeebacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 298$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 19c | 292.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…e46cbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 277$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…26b2backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 271$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…959cbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 257$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…3affbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 257$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…abcebacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 252$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…12d2backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 248$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 223$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +130%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 194$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 171.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…ba09backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 156$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 146.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…eb1dbacked Avangard Omsk | 78c | 141$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…3a46backed Avangard Omsk | 78c | 137$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2a82backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Avangard Omsk | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…f152backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…7ec5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 24c | 67.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c9…1a80backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…7660backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 57.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Avangard Omsk | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…b669backed Avangard Omsk | 77c | 41.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3250backed Avangard Omsk | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Avangard Omsk | 75c | 29.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Avangard Omsk | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Avangard Omsk | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Avangard Omsk | 80c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…e7fabacked Avangard Omsk | 80c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Avangard Omsk | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.