Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec55056b70e769e9301eb1e510f77604293ba9590744a32bf62cae27f07e822d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 0c | 4,244$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ole Miss Rebels | 15c | 775.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss Rebels | 6c | 642.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ole Miss Rebels | 29c | 392$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 25c | 195.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Ole Miss Rebels | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Ole Miss Rebels | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebelsthis page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 145.5Under won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 146.5Under won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.