Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf825c04c878c4c794834ffeb8b64414ced84bf86a2c5cfc02d0668d2c53c6e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Indiana State Sycamores, Northern Iowa Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 13c | 1,941$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana State Sycamores | 35c | 878.8$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 20c | 678.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 60c | 505.81$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 15c | 457.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 23c | 441.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Indiana State Sycamores | 39c | 257.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores | 18c | 240.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana State Sycamores | 19c | 235$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 80c | 222.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…498fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 69c | 136.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 31c | 133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Indiana State Sycamores | 18c | 128.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 80c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 16c | 105.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 72c | 78.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.