Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d7d1335ccfeb390606b70d7fc40be0664ec6d897605cc7a896a05c9c5195f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof Florida State Seminoles, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida State Seminoles | 12c | 5,041$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Florida State Seminoles | 10c | 1,704$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida State Seminoles | 8c | 1,062$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Florida State Seminoles | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida State Seminoles | 8c | 739.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Florida State Seminoles | 14c | 693.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Florida State Seminoles | 12c | 434.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Florida State Seminoles | 8c | 420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Florida State Seminoles | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed Florida State Seminoles | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Florida State Seminoles | 8c | 251.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Florida State Seminoles | 10c | 251.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida State Seminoles | 8c | 215.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Florida State Seminoles | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Florida State Seminoles | 12c | 121$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.