Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9bd4bd28b194261e026435f0675d93682e9534ae2ffd0016adc1eff565d0054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof CSUN Matadors, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed CSUN Matadors | 8c | 4,307$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors | 13c | 3,645$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CSUN Matadors | 14c | 2,755$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…5bfbbacked Stanford Cardinal | 79c | 1,663$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed CSUN Matadors | 9c | 1,308$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked CSUN Matadors | 14c | 569.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stanford Cardinal | 75c | 538.7$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked CSUN Matadors | 14c | 537.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed CSUN Matadors | 26c | 507.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked CSUN Matadors | 28c | 428.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stanford Cardinal | 77c | 424.69$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked CSUN Matadors | 27c | 400.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…6ddebacked CSUN Matadors | 29c | 349.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 270.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…756fbacked CSUN Matadors | 9c | 144.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed CSUN Matadors | 8c | 132$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed CSUN Matadors | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked CSUN Matadors | 23c | 96.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CSUN Matadors | 20c | 88.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal | 76c | 79.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stanford Cardinal | 78c | 60.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.