Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68fd075af0b2db52ec64b440a329a242c620a3b122ad18457623a40bfa300437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalmychataof Kalmychata, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed VP.Prodigy | 7c | 4,026$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…807cbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 2,030$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…bc8bbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 2,020$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…341bbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 2,020$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…874bbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 2,010$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 1,869$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.21 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d405backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 1,530$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Kalmychata | 68c | 1,179$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…417cbacked Kalmychata | 66c | 1,149$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…61a7backed Kalmychata | 66c | 1,050$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…0ac8backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…401dbacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 1,030$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…466cbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 1,020$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…acd3backed Kalmychata | 66c | 1,020$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…cac0backed Kalmychata | 67c | 1,010$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…9024backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed VP.Prodigy | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b31…7332backed Kalmychata | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…d5c2backed Kalmychata | 68c | 770.99$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…f82abacked Kalmychata | 68c | 759$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked VP.Prodigy | 14c | 735.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 700.11$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…b6a7backed Kalmychata | 67c | 690$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…abfcbacked Kalmychata | 67c | 680$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdd…953cbacked Kalmychata | 66c | 680$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 676.29$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.65 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…91d5backed Kalmychata | 67c | 675$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…60fbbacked Kalmychata | 67c | 673$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…69f4backed Kalmychata | 67c | 672$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…6899backed Kalmychata | 66c | 670$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…f897backed Kalmychata | 67c | 668$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…5261backed Kalmychata | 67c | 667$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…f222backed Kalmychata | 67c | 665$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…631bbacked Kalmychata | 66c | 660$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…1e58backed Kalmychata | 67c | 660$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Kalmychata | 68c | 558.82$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 550$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Kalmychata | 67c | 518.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Kalmychata | 70c | 506.21$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Kalmychata | 68c | 500.47$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…5494backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 466.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed VP.Prodigy | 4c | 449.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…d15bbacked Kalmychata | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…afeabacked Kalmychata | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…fbe3backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a4…1297backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 280.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 266.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 208.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked VP.Prodigy | 32c | 168.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kalmychata | 66c | 156.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 152.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Kalmychata | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Kalmychata | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 132.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed VP.Prodigy | 10c | 125.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked VP.Prodigy | 13c | 124.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…84fdbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 114.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 107.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…4b4dbacked Kalmychata | 68c | 102$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…cdfebacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…70dcbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…9813backed Kalmychata | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ae…8db9backed Kalmychata | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked VP.Prodigy | 12c | 99.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Kalmychata | 71c | 95.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed VP.Prodigy | 16c | 95.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Kalmychata | 69c | 76.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Kalmychata | 78c | 74.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 55.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Kalmychata | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 33.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Kalmychata | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Kalmychata | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Kalmychata | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Kalmychata | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Kalmychata | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Kalmychata | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Kalmychata | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…f9b5backed Kalmychata | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Kalmychata | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Kalmychata | 69c | 14.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerKalmychata won
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerKalmychata won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.