Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. North Alabama Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4910162fb2f2d78760c723e8cd239d399c49d80526c8687bcf61037b0b1e6b11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stetson Hattersof Stetson Hatters, North Alabama Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stetson Hatters | 27c | 6,957$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063.67 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed North Alabama Lions | 80c | 6,251$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.91 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Alabama Lions | 13c | 3,403$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.49 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked North Alabama Lions | 41c | 1,250$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Stetson Hatters | 18c | 867.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.71 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed North Alabama Lions | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked North Alabama Lions | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed North Alabama Lions | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked North Alabama Lions | 2c | 593.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Stetson Hatters | 27c | 511.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.21 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Stetson Hatters | 48c | 485$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Alabama Lions | 13c | 456.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Alabama Lions | 14c | 354.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions | 72c | 333.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Stetson Hatters | 9c | 284.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.22 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stetson Hatters | 17c | 249.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stetson Hatters | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Stetson Hatters | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked North Alabama Lions | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stetson Hatters | 59c | 175.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stetson Hatters | 19c | 172$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Stetson Hatters | 18c | 155.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Stetson Hatters | 29c | 129$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stetson Hatters | 28c | 120.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Stetson Hatters | 19c | 97.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed Stetson Hatters | 11c | 93.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Stetson Hatters | 18c | 85.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Alabama Lions | 76c | 73.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Alabama Lions | 77c | 73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked North Alabama Lions | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. North Alabama Lionsthis page
- Spread: North Alabama Lions (-9.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Stetson Hatters vs. North Alabama Lions: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.