TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Central Michigan vs. Northwestern

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northwesternof Central Michigan, Northwestern
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$561,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Central Michigan1c103,365$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.017846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Northwestern80c88,681$70,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,736.133857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern73c36,990$26,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,030.0458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Central Michigan20c35,045$7,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,069.8852449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Central Michigan20c34,930$6,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,98610848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Northwestern78c33,000$25,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,26019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Central Michigan22c25,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Central Michigan26c23,951$6,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,171.4263243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Central Michigan12c17,675$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.1664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Central Michigan25c17,589$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.5113933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Central Michigan1c16,885$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8924229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan13c14,675$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.4219842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Central Michigan5c12,575$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.9513149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Central Michigan20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Northwestern80c12,000$9,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.9815751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d17…0b3fbacked Central Michigan23c11,522$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan24c9,837$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.2221538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Northwestern78c8,200$6,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7713658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Central Michigan0c7,725$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1894…9720backed Central Michigan22c7,649$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern78c7,407$5,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.922,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Northwestern76c7,106$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Central Michigan20c6,714$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8c…4183backed Northwestern78c6,318$4,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Northwestern74c6,153$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.9186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Central Michigan22c5,893$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.4739954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Northwestern77c5,884$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Central Michigan20c5,453$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.824833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Central Michigan19c5,030$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.721055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Central Michigan1c3,997$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.891360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Central Michigan22c3,692$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.2916234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Central Michigan0c3,164$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.172370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f7…9742backed Northwestern79c2,672$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Northwestern78c2,569$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.185754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Central Michigan19c2,567$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48225629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Central Michigan21c2,540$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5395147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3af…35c1backed Northwestern79c2,531$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Central Michigan22c2,207$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.8913845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9d…efc0backed Central Michigan5c2,070$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Central Michigan16c2,028$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.631145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Central Michigan20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Central Michigan21c1,959$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Central Michigan6c1,888$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.282548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Central Michigan28c1,797$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.171553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c70…1d71backed Northwestern73c1,670$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Northwestern80c1,458$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.629351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Michigan25c1,359$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern77c1,300$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0750358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Central Michigan22c1,200$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2583138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Central Michigan11c1,116$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.362536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Central Michigan17c1,110$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Central Michigan22c1,092$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2420757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Central Michigan7c1,027$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Northwestern73c1,015$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.419124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Northwestern77c1,004$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23165945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7efc…bea6backed Northwestern72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Northwestern78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Central Michigan21c999.93$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Central Michigan21c844$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.863743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Central Michigan6c820$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.421040%4 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30b5…10b0backed Central Michigan27c781.78$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.081020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fb…f161backed Central Michigan19c695.58$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Central Michigan22c694$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.447642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Central Michigan24c684$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern78c679.49$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7148546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Central Michigan20c655$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Central Michigan23c641.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.58627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Central Michigan20c612.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c43…1f64backed Central Michigan22c548$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Northwestern78c547.98$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.554100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Northwestern79c535.37$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4319849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Northwestern80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Central Michigan13c500$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Northwestern77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1157254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Central Michigan19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9542244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65be…1c83backed Central Michigan20c461.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b9…f392backed Northwestern78c461.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.546100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a73…9daabacked Central Michigan9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Central Michigan24c436.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7412346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…48bebacked Central Michigan22c418.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern77c399.98$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9210346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Central Michigan31c370.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Northwestern80c366.06$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Central Michigan27c359.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3526940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Central Michigan21c330.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Central Michigan23c317$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Northwestern77c316.8$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8628440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Central Michigan21c316.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.854643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Central Michigan23c315.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5311221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef2…61d1backed Central Michigan23c305.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Central Michigan20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Central Michigan15c300$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Central Michigan19c300$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582015%3 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Central Michigan13c274.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4611022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705e…c57dbacked Northwestern77c258.63$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Northwestern80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Central Michigan20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010342.7%44 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Central Michigan24c250$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8350%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Michigan24c239.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Northwestern80c232.5$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.95825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.