College Football · resolved market
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149f834e5f28c1b10529dc6e0dc4bc3f7949f9dab2a5891407207d0f61c0e0e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwesternof Northwestern, Central Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Central Michigan | 45c | 71,002$32,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,126.19 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Northwestern | 55c | 60,749$33,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,386.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Northwestern | 55c | 50,713$27,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,021.05 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Northwestern | 51c | 46,540$23,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,024.84 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Central Michigan | 48c | 40,000$19,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,299.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Central Michigan | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Central Michigan | 52c | 12,696$6,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.33 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Central Michigan | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Northwestern | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern | 52c | 7,923$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.6 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan | 46c | 6,894$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.09 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Central Michigan | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Northwestern | 55c | 4,727$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.27 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northwestern | 52c | 4,382$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.45 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Central Michigan | 50c | 3,273$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.61 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern | 46c | 3,135$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.13 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Central Michigan | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Central Michigan | 43c | 2,971$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.55 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Central Michigan | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Central Michigan | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Northwestern | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Central Michigan | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Northwestern | 56c | 974.07$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Central Michigan | 51c | 908.78$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Central Michigan | 51c | 855$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Central Michigan | 47c | 820$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern | 48c | 749.95$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.48 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northwestern | 50c | 714.93$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.13 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Northwestern | 50c | 707.71$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.85 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Central Michigan | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Central Michigan | 45c | 694.34$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Central Michigan | 45c | 643$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Central Michigan | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Central Michigan | 46c | 504.76$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Northwestern | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Central Michigan | 48c | 443.06$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Central Michigan | 51c | 438.45$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Central Michigan | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Northwestern | 54c | 387.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Central Michigan | 45c | 344$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Northwestern | 48c | 336.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Central Michigan | 47c | 333.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Central Michigan | 45c | 319.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Northwestern | 44c | 306.66$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Northwestern | 41c | 242.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Northwestern | 55c | 225.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Central Michigan | 45c | 216.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Northwestern | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Northwestern | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Central Michigan | 49c | 200.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Central Michigan | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Central Michigan | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Central Michigan | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Northwestern | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Northwestern | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern | 48c | 163.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Central Michigan | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Michigan | 45c | 123.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Central Michigan | 47c | 113.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Northwestern | 48c | 109.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Northwestern | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Central Michigan | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Central Michigan | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Central Michigan | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Northwestern | 47c | 97.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…b176backed Central Michigan | 73c | 95.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…6a7ebacked Northwestern | 49c | 94.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Northwestern | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Northwestern | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…b5a2backed Northwestern | 50c | 88.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Central Michigan | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Central Michigan | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Northwestern | 50c | 80.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Central Michigan | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d267backed Central Michigan | 52c | 66.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Michigan | 58c | 66.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Northwestern | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…7975backed Northwestern | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Central Michigan | 49c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Northwestern | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Central Michigan | 44c | 54.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Northwestern | 49c | 50.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Northwestern | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Northwestern | 55c | 49.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Northwestern | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern | 65c | 47.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Central Michigan | 45c | 43.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Central Michigan | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…034cbacked Northwestern | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Northwestern | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Central Michigan | 47c | 33.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Central Michigan | 46c | 31.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Central Michigan | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Northwestern | 50c | 29.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Northwestern | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Central Michigan | 66c | 25.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Northwestern | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…153cbacked Central Michigan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe298…8ca9backed Central Michigan | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)this page
- Central Michigan vs. NorthwesternNorthwestern won
- Central Michigan vs. Northwestern: 1H MoneylineNorthwestern won
- O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Northwestern (-11.5)Northwestern won
- Spread: Northwestern (-12.5)Northwestern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.