College Football · resolved market
O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041ab4f461451581cbe662ee908faa51a47bfddb9ab5680eb89b609d848e44f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Under | 52c | 250,000$130,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,999.83 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 193,799$93,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,023.4 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 36,477$17,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,509.05 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 20,020$9,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,620.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Over | 49c | 18,638$9,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,218 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 14,760$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.58 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 9,074$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.82 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 8,980$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,638$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.71 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 3,750$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.5 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 2,220$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.81 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 37c | 1,798$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 36c | 1,641$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.88 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 51c | 1,624$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over | 51c | 1,383$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 50c | 1,339$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…fe28backed Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Over | 48c | 976.15$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 48c | 620.19$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 52c | 606.38$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Over | 79c | 600$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…c4c7backed Under | 53c | 413.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8299…6d53backed Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 34c | 355.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 37c | 345.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Over | 44c | 313.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Over | 48c | 260.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 65c | 249.21$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 37c | 230.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 51c | 196.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 31c | 174$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…47a5backed Under | 40c | 171.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Under | 52c | 137.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 47c | 136$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Over | 49c | 104.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 48c | 98.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Under | 80c | 88.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…6bc7backed Over | 48c | 86.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…2fd9backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 65c | 68.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 65.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…78c0backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Under | 63c | 55.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 42.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 40c | 30.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…07cdbacked Over | 51c | 20.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 43.5this page
- Central Michigan vs. NorthwesternNorthwestern won
- Central Michigan vs. Northwestern: 1H MoneylineNorthwestern won
- Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)Northwestern won
- Spread: Northwestern (-11.5)Northwestern won
- Spread: Northwestern (-12.5)Northwestern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.