NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5fa0a2127dd071c40d64adfbf5a3ee63592a4fea9843af82f34a5c966fa412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,270,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,353,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 150,000$42,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,899.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 52c | 84,363$43,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,434.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 82,898$39,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,950.87 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 64c | 69,224$44,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,816.39 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 50,000$18,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,588.37 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 70c | 49,180$34,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,692.36 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 47,241$16,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,379.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 66c | 40,989$27,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,978.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 36,472$13,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,197.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Magic | 53c | 35,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,599.99 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 68c | 25,586$17,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,073.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Magic | 53c | 24,812$13,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,674.97 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 24,812$11,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,922.88 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 23,841$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,981 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 52c | 23,635$12,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,285.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…00c7backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 22,500$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Magic | 76c | 20,403$15,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 52c | 20,160$10,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,676.8 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.52 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 14,297$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Magic | 80c | 14,070$11,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.05 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 14,000$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Magic | 67c | 13,153$8,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.7 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 12,028$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.75 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 12,000$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.81 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 11,752$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 11,700$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Magic | 74c | 11,487$8,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 51c | 10,896$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.82 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 65c | 10,000$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.96 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Magic | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 7,911$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 7,214$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.38 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 7,209$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.23 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magic | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.29 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Magic | 53c | 5,433$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.65 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Magic | 53c | 5,001$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.47 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Magic | 76c | 4,775$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.59 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Magic | 66c | 4,275$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.28 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 52c | 4,251$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.07 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 67c | 4,108$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.43 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 4,048$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 51c | 4,044$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.35 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Magic | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f491backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.56 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 3,887$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.37 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Magic | 53c | 3,822$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.16 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 3,774$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 3,411$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.7 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 53c | 2,898$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.78 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 54c | 2,859$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 2,711$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.5 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…ddf1backed Magic | 52c | 2,499$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…7fdabacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,499$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…b4c4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,469$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…9351backed Magic | 52c | 2,469$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…c492backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,403$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…b1b9backed Magic | 54c | 2,383$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…0773backed Magic | 52c | 2,375$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…e25dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,374$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 62c | 2,363$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.74 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4144…8a7dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,276$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…f855backed Magic | 52c | 2,275$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Magic | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…934bbacked Magic | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 62c | 2,159$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.16 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,135$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…3defbacked Magic | 62c | 2,126$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Magic | 74c | 2,095$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 2,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,992$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Magic | 57c | 1,979$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.91 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 70c | 1,958$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.23 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Magic | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 1,765$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…37c3backed Magic | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…e95ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,745$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,600$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.02 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,516$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,495$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.46 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 1,491$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.23 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,465$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.1 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…ec2dbacked Magic | 68c | 1,415$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Magic | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.1 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,343$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Magic | 55c | 1,304$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Magic | 80c | 1,301$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Trail Blazersthis page
- Desmond Bane: Assists Over 4.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Magic vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Magic vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Magic vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Magic vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.