TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,034 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c3,100$1,457 inLost-$1,456.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c2,996$1,584 inWon+$1,412.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c2,584$1,369 inWon+$1,214.461,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon+$1,0712860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67f6…00f6backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost-$1,0712462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over50c1,332$666 inLost-$66623550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over49c1,025$500 inLost-$50072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c996.9$518 inWon+$478.513,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over47c900$423 inLost-$42315653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c611.99$300 inLost-$299.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c5…cc0bbacked Under51c607.84$310 inWon+$297.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c578.08$291 inWon+$286.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over52c500$260 inLost-$26019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under53c279.42$147 inWon+$132.0752643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under50c196.07$98 inWon+$98.0418954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under52c134.62$70 inWon+$64.6223948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa891…6c9dbacked Over51c123$63 inLost-$62.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over50c98.8$49 inLost-$49.41,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.345662.5%35 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under50c74.72$37 inWon+$37.365450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bce…c373backed Over50c64$32 inLost-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ba…abc3backed Over50c59$30 inLost-$29.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Under49c53.47$26 inWon+$27.276445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.