NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd575ac365fb7520b5c95699829532cdab900e6c9d120e897e87baea29cd75d3d

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sunsof Suns, Wizards
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,196,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,175,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,196,850 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 729 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed Wizards	21c	362,880$77,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,255.98	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Suns	79c	50,000$39,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,500	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Suns	78c	50,000$39,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,999.95	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	10c	40,064$4,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,046.75	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Suns	79c	40,000$31,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,500	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns	79c	34,166$26,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,298.3	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Suns	80c	30,850$24,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,170.06	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns	79c	28,967$22,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,082.97	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns	78c	28,200$21,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,204	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Suns	79c	28,008$21,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,019.59	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Suns	79c	25,380$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,379.75	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Wizards	22c	22,727$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	20c	19,425$3,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,872.38	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Wizards	22c	19,000$4,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,089.99	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Suns	79c	17,024$13,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575.04	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	14c	16,940$2,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,365.78	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns	78c	16,414$12,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,542.75	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Suns	78c	15,990$12,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,517.88	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Suns	79c	14,902$11,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,129.33	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns	79c	14,464$11,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,034.28	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	22c	12,500$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	19c	12,270$2,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,272.49	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Wizards	21c	12,001$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520.2	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Wizards	22c	12,000$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards	20c	11,416$2,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260.62	641	39%250 W · 391 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards	21c	11,298$2,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,345.92	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Suns	79c	11,222$8,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,316.28	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards	21c	11,066$2,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,323.78	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Suns	78c	10,106$7,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,181.25	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards	21c	10,046$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110.1	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Wizards	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Wizards	21c	9,010$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.1	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Suns	79c	8,603$6,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,780.42	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Wizards	20c	8,001$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600.2	112	44.6%50 W · 62 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Wizards	20c	8,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	88	27.3%24 W · 64 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Suns	79c	8,000$6,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.98	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns	79c	7,644$6,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,583.63	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	22c	7,591$1,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.5	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Wizards	19c	7,570$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.64	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Suns	78c	7,382$5,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,602.7	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns	79c	6,706$5,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.1	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Suns	80c	6,458$5,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,313.05	277	58.8%163 W · 114 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards	21c	6,449$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.46	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9d…38bebacked Wizards	21c	6,400$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Wizards	21c	6,289$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301.8	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Suns	79c	6,273$4,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.43	228	57.5%131 W · 97 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	19c	6,100$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaddc…ed0dbacked Suns	79c	5,910$4,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.13	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Suns	79c	5,883$4,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,216.6	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Suns	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Suns	80c	5,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.4	240	48.3%116 W · 124 L	-13.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Wizards	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	128	43.8%56 W · 72 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf7…adcdbacked Wizards	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Suns	78c	5,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.97	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b77…f234backed Suns	80c	4,800$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Wizards	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Wizards	28c	4,749$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332.34	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Suns	79c	4,611$3,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.31	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wizards	23c	4,415$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.87	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Wizards	20c	4,132$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.84	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Suns	79c	4,038$3,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.97	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Suns	78c	4,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Suns	79c	3,715$2,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.14	255	54.1%138 W · 117 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Suns	79c	3,563$2,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.33	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eef…266fbacked Wizards	20c	3,500$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	65	61.5%40 W · 25 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Suns	78c	3,500$2,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Suns	78c	3,338$2,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.49	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed Wizards	24c	3,324$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.85	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+57%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	16c	3,266$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.94	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards	18c	3,225$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x697d…985dbacked Wizards	21c	3,200$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…eb26backed Suns	79c	3,100$2,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards	14c	3,040$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.75	342	27.2%93 W · 249 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Suns	78c	2,990$2,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.89	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Wizards	20c	2,742$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	22c	2,727$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards	23c	2,625$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44d…1034backed Suns	79c	2,530$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.3	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards	15c	2,500$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd1f…6623backed Suns	79c	2,500$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards	21c	2,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns	78c	2,500$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…b7a6backed Suns	79c	2,500$1,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Suns	77c	2,462$1,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.32	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Suns	77c	2,461$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.97	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Wizards	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Wizards	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Wizards	21c	2,375$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.74	123	24.4%30 W · 93 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed Suns	79c	2,368$1,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.28	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Suns	79c	2,362$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.92	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Wizards	27c	2,329$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.66	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Suns	78c	2,300$1,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Wizards	22c	2,195$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Suns	79c	2,163$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.75	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	10c	2,162$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.81	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Wizards	21c	2,143$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	355	31.8%113 W · 242 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Suns	80c	2,140$1,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Suns	78c	2,069$1,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.27	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…c852backed Wizards	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Wizards	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event