NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1282e7a05c63dcd48d89962ebb79d88dc859836f8d897ee4f33d513d1b8315ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Wizards | 53c | 47,434$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 48c | 18,001$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 15,271$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,873.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 51c | 7,490$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 49c | 5,099$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…4775backed Suns | 50c | 3,560$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 49c | 3,019$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.83 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Suns | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 51c | 2,675$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 51c | 2,460$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…d7d5backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…90e9backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2b11backed Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…2353backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Suns | 49c | 1,952$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.52 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Wizards | 50c | 1,444$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.9 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 49c | 1,423$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.73 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Suns | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Wizards | 50c | 1,228$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.92 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 50c | 1,212$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 45c | 1,208$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.43 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Suns | 51c | 978.1$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.27 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Suns | 49c | 876.53$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.03 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Suns | 38c | 841.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.95 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 49c | 799.95$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 47c | 688$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Suns | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 49c | 556.39$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Suns | 50c | 514$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Suns | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 48c | 464.51$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.97 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 49c | 419.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…f290backed Suns | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Suns | 77c | 324.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Wizards | 23c | 323$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Suns | 50c | 302.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Wizards | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Suns | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Suns | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 61c | 264$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Suns | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Suns | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 49c | 234.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 49c | 226.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Suns | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Suns | 49c | 217.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…1f9cbacked Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Wizards | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Suns | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Suns | 48c | 161.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns | 50c | 160.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…0df0backed Suns | 50c | 159.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 51c | 137.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Suns | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Suns | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 48c | 123.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Suns | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed Suns | 49c | 101.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Suns | 49c | 100.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…629fbacked Suns | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Suns | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Wizards | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0a…3518backed Suns | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…30dabacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Wizards | 50c | 99.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Suns | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Suns | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Suns | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Wizards | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Suns | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Suns | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…9277backed Wizards | 51c | 66.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Wizards | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-6.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. WizardsSuns won
- Suns vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Suns vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Suns vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Suns vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.