NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1b973917719e4cdd73ee72bf79bb064e6213d4aa4f451ce25f45dc41c5aa3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Pacers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,647,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,730,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,647,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 28c | 219,677$61,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,509.49 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Pacers | 31c | 136,858$41,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,909.94 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pacers | 35c | 115,195$40,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,158.69 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…5f29backed Heat | 72c | 103,546$74,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,886.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pacers | 27c | 73,619$19,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,553.8 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Heat | 66c | 68,575$45,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,283.7 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers | 25c | 51,320$12,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,829.91 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Heat | 72c | 49,000$35,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,942.8 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 70c | 47,973$33,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,392.02 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 72c | 40,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 30c | 40,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Pacers | 29c | 36,730$10,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,651.7 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 70c | 35,457$24,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Heat | 64c | 33,595$21,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,126.6 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 71c | 30,673$21,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,905.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 71c | 27,206$19,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,841.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 71c | 24,453$17,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,084.78 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pacers | 28c | 24,168$6,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,823.01 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Pacers | 29c | 22,032$6,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.34 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 71c | 21,135$15,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 66c | 20,801$13,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,082.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Pacers | 29c | 19,777$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.31 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 71c | 19,763$14,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.21 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pacers | 27c | 16,911$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.19 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pacers | 24c | 16,200$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Heat | 73c | 16,000$11,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 72c | 14,549$10,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Heat | 72c | 11,545$8,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.63 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Heat | 70c | 11,224$7,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.29 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 34c | 7,934$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.43 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 28c | 7,708$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.23 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 71c | 7,554$5,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.71 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Heat | 74c | 6,653$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.6 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 75c | 6,128$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.27 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pacers | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Heat | 70c | 5,333$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.83 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Heat | 74c | 4,780$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 68c | 4,701$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 35c | 4,478$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.87 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers | 26c | 4,410$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.48 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Pacers | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Heat | 75c | 3,996$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.68 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Heat | 70c | 3,300$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Pacers | 29c | 3,255$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 6c | 3,252$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 29c | 3,133$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.62 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 64c | 3,118$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Pacers | 29c | 3,084$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.45 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 69c | 3,024$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heat | 68c | 3,023$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.49 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Pacers | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Pacers | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Heat | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Heat | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…9b5dbacked Pacers | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 73c | 3,000$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Heat | 70c | 2,815$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.26 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 70c | 2,807$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.85 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Heat | 67c | 2,802$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.62 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Heat | 73c | 2,744$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.65 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 31c | 2,624$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.44 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Heat | 76c | 2,512$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacers | 25c | 2,440$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.6 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 1c | 2,350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 72c | 2,331$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 32c | 2,253$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Heat | 71c | 2,247$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.63 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 72c | 2,214$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pacers | 30c | 2,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…f3d2backed Heat | 77c | 2,156$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…77dcbacked Pacers | 26c | 2,154$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Heat | 75c | 2,096$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 73c | 2,000$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Heat | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pacers | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Heat | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 34c | 1,982$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pacers | 34c | 1,971$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.82 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Heat | 73c | 1,920$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.29 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…09c1backed Heat | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 40c | 1,791$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.01 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers | 28c | 1,770$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Heat | 70c | 1,739$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.7 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Heat | 72c | 1,730$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.05 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Pacers | 26c | 1,727$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.84 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pacers | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…ba8bbacked Pacers | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Heat | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 74c | 1,556$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.48 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pacers | 29c | 1,500$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.55 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Heat | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.97 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Pacers | 29c | 1,471$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 76c | 1,394$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…3662backed Pacers | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Pacers | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Heatthis page
- Pacers vs. Heat: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.