NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9173ac465c7328087ab3ae21c7aefd2bf500864d4f7481238cfed10cb1934d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 53c | 19,853$10,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,563.79 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 15,818$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,104.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.44 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 1,504$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 46c | 1,145$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.24 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,009$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Under | 51c | 873.4$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 7c | 800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 47c | 786.35$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.01 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 691.86$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.21 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 615.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 468$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 426.82$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 284.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 283.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 53c | 207$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Over | 47c | 185.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…da9cbacked Over | 46c | 182.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 46c | 154.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 146.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Under | 44c | 122.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 53c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…aa64backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 62.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…3cafbacked Under | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 37.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 34.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 24.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Over | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 230.5this page
- Pacers vs. HeatHeat won
- Pacers vs. Heat: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.