College Football · resolved market
Michigan vs. Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcee59fe269cc903807e9f7c8634129e3fcbb5e247ba5248b4308ae888e46377
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Michigan, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,521,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,691,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,521,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Michigan | 38c | 832,536$313,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313,137.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Michigan | 38c | 354,477$133,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,252.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Texas | 62c | 300,000$186,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,999.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texas | 61c | 272,598$165,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,013.1 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texas | 62c | 200,000$124,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,000 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Texas | 63c | 183,466$115,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,881.96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan | 37c | 91,017$33,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,706.37 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Texas | 65c | 85,200$55,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,187.44 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texas | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,499.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Michigan | 1c | 49,972$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.97 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Michigan | 37c | 40,999$15,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,159.64 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Texas | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas | 55c | 27,553$15,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,313.88 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas | 68c | 24,314$16,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.47 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Michigan | 43c | 22,723$9,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,684.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Michigan | 46c | 21,944$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Texas | 66c | 20,500$13,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.97 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d1…0bcdbacked Texas | 72c | 17,435$12,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Michigan | 36c | 16,686$6,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Texas | 64c | 16,538$10,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas | 62c | 16,091$9,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.95 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Texas | 51c | 15,838$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,837.96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas | 62c | 15,433$9,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.32 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Texas | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Michigan | 40c | 14,978$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texas | 69c | 13,612$9,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,253.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Michigan | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas | 64c | 12,224$7,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.01 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Texas | 69c | 12,209$8,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.19 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Michigan | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Michigan | 37c | 11,137$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Texas | 56c | 10,919$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Michigan | 27c | 10,568$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Texas | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas | 69c | 9,900$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.18 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan | 27c | 9,388$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.9 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Michigan | 44c | 9,100$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b7b1backed Michigan | 53c | 9,066$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Texas | 71c | 9,000$6,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked Michigan | 35c | 8,190$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Texas | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Michigan | 31c | 7,697$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.15 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas | 62c | 7,693$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.4 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Texas | 65c | 7,685$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…6babbacked Texas | 73c | 7,662$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Texas | 62c | 6,675$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Michigan | 34c | 5,959$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Texas | 63c | 5,920$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Michigan | 42c | 5,153$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.1 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Michigan | 27c | 5,109$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Michigan | 0c | 4,633$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…d95bbacked Michigan | 16c | 4,630$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas | 54c | 4,520$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.63 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Texas | 66c | 4,470$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Texas | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Texas | 76c | 3,720$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Michigan | 42c | 3,717$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.63 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas | 68c | 3,699$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Texas | 53c | 3,536$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Michigan | 57c | 3,502$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Michigan | 5c | 3,165$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Michigan | 35c | 3,143$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.69 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Texas | 58c | 3,108$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Texas | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Texas | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Texas | 62c | 2,942$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.13 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texas | 62c | 2,819$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.95 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Texas | 45c | 2,800$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Michigan | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.93 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Texas | 56c | 2,643$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.8 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Michigan | 39c | 2,613$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.96 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Texas | 49c | 2,591$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Michigan | 59c | 2,522$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed Michigan | 34c | 2,506$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Texas | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Texas | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Michigan | 1c | 2,445$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Michigan | 42c | 2,404$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Texas | 57c | 2,398$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas | 61c | 2,367$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.28 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…8d65backed Texas | 46c | 2,278$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Michigan | 52c | 2,221$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Texas | 50c | 2,058$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Texas | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…09b6backed Texas | 71c | 1,900$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas | 63c | 1,893$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.11 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Michigan | 38c | 1,877$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.41 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…93a1backed Texas | 54c | 1,874$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Michigan | 26c | 1,840$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.2 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Michigan | 46c | 1,818$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.21 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas | 62c | 1,783$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Texas | 66c | 1,712$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed Michigan | 34c | 1,679$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Texas | 66c | 1,533$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…024bbacked Michigan | 37c | 1,514$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Texas | 72c | 1,497$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed Michigan | 28c | 1,495$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan | 25c | 1,485$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.34 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan vs. Texasthis page
- O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Texas (-4.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-5.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-6.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-7.5)Texas won
- Spread: Texas (-8.5)Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.