TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dcf…d95b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$887.78
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,575.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,710
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$982
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.09
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,434.69
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,074.88
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.49
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,200
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$966.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$123.68
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$319.98
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,427.55
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+374.4%+$748.74
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.1%+$1,518.31
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$725.54
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+176.3%+$1,736.29
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-87.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Bo Nix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.81
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,356.65
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$871.19
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$245.76
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.8%+$1,120.32
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,767
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.78
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,128.21
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.69
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+71.7%+$2,980.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$11,800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.